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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| "Anora" | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| "The Brutalist" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| "A Real Pain" | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| "September 5" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| "The Substance" | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 594d | meropi | "A Real Pain" | SellNo>99¢ | $1,799 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 594d |  dududududu | "A Real Pain" | SellNo>99¢ | $2,585 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 594d | meropi | "A Real Pain" | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$60 +3.5% | 20 |
| 594d | 1697 | "Anora" | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,190 | +$1,734 +54% | 20 |
| 594d | piotrus | "September 5" | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,859 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 594d | tost | "September 5" | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,144 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 594d |  mr.ozi | "The Substance" | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | +$279 +16% | 25 |
| 594d |  just.some.guy | "The Substance" | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$353 +18% | 24 |
| 594d | just.some.guy | "A Real Pain" | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$168 +16% | 24 |
| 595d | KaeKvix | "September 5" | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,002 | +$157 +0.4% | 20 |
| 595d | EscalateFund2 fills | "Anora" | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,457 | +$1,697 +38% | 22 |
| 596d | affs20791 | "The Substance" | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$412 −25% | — |
| 597d | cigarettes2 fills | "September 5" | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,918 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 597d | cigarettes | "The Substance" | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$190 +15% | 22 |
| 597d | cigarettes2 fills | "The Brutalist" | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,902 | +$21 +0.4% | 20 |
| 597d | cigarettes2 fills | "A Real Pain" | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,330 | +$593 +14% | 21 |
| 597d | Melody626 | "Anora" | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 25 |
| 597d | Othvian | "The Brutalist" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,999 | +$175 +0.6% | 20 |
| 597d |  ChironCrossing | "Anora" | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 26 |
| 598d | affs20791 | "The Substance" | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,132 | +$468 +15% | 21 |
| 605d | tiburon | "The Substance" | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$1,098 +30% | 20 |
| 610d | Scalit2 fills | "The Substance" | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$876 +31% | 20 |
| 612d |  syncope | "Anora" | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,807 | +$1,204 +43% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No." If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for "Anora" means the market gives it about 100%.