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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anora | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The Brutalist | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Complete Unknown | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conclave | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dune: Part Two | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emilia Pérez | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nickel Boys | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Real Pain | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sing Sing | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wicked | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Challengers | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nosferatu | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| I'm Still Here | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Substance | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| "Movie C" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| "Movie D" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| "Movie E" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| "Movie F" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d | severus | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $2,634 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | vitorfliii | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $4,854 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | tomn | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | elPolloLoco | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $1,659 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | elPolloLoco | A Complete Unknown | SellNo>99¢ | $1,719 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | EscalateFund | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $9,989 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | richbrian | The Substance | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | Scholarly-Disk | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $1,033 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | Megatron747 | Anora | SellYes>99¢ | $11,209 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 593d |  dududududu3 fills | Anora | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,969 | −$410 −5.1% | — |
| 593d | mikuhatsune | Conclave | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 593d | RBP | Anora | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$47 +3.1% | 20 |
| 593d |  Malllory | The Brutalist | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 20 |
| 593d |  🍝👹 | The Brutalist | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 593d | Immense-Predecessor | Anora | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 593d | dududududu4 fills | Anora | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,903 | +$1,923 +33% | 20 |
| 593d |  willis11112 fills | A Complete Unknown | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,750 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 593d | aviato2 fills | I'm Still Here | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,675 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 593d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Anora | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$168 −16% | — |
| 593d |  MLBksRETARD | Anora | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$228 +16% | 20 |
| 593d | severus | Anora | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$257 +11% | 20 |
| 593d | TEEZ | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,132 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 593d |  McDonalds-Employee | Anora | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$270 −20% | — |
| 593d | Melody626 | Anora | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$750 +18% | 20 |
| 593d | rustin | Anora | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$370 +19% | 20 |
| 593d | sasha8 | Anora | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 20 |
| 593d | Snoorrason | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,542 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 593d |  RiseAndSunny | Anora | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$584 −56% | — |
| 593d | snakesss | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,569 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 593d | DavidoRusu | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,528 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 593d | Winninghumbly | A Complete Unknown | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,002 | +$45 +0.9% | 20 |
| 594d |  ScarletRot | Anora | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$707 +56% | 20 |
| 594d |  DemonCore | The Brutalist | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$142 −13% | — |
| 594d | affs207916 fills | The Brutalist | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $18,409 | +$2,263 +12% | 21 |
| 594d | sasha8 | The Brutalist | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$373 +16% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes3 fills | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,563 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes3 fills | Emilia Pérez | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,557 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes3 fills | Wicked | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,557 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes | Conclave | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$333 +27% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes3 fills | A Complete Unknown | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,541 | +$36 +0.7% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes2 fills | I'm Still Here | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | +$32 +1.0% | 20 |
| 594d | dududududu | The Brutalist | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$268 −19% | — |
| 594d | Megatron747 | Anora | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$2,055 +46% | 20 |
| 594d |  squarestylepizza | The Brutalist | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 29 |
| 594d | sleepcover | I'm Still Here | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$17 +0.7% | 20 |
| 594d | portfel | Emilia Pérez | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | dropp | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,455 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | Delightful-Cafe | Anora | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 26 |
| 594d | MRF | I'm Still Here | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$18 +1.5% | 20 |
| 594d | Isaak👴 | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,000 | +$53 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | maybebabystoilet | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d |  MaCub | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,974 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | akari-194 | Wicked | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | cuta | Wicked | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Anora | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,904 | +$1,457 +50% | 28 |
| 594d | flexeroleg | Dune: Part Two | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | Snoorrason | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes2 fills | The Substance | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,977 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes2 fills | Nickel Boys | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,976 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 594d | cigarettes2 fills | The Brutalist | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,554 | +$439 +12% | 21 |
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Anora means the market gives it about 100%.