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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guy Pearce – "The Brutalist" | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denzel Washington – "Gladiator II" | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Clarence Maclin – "Sing Sing" | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stanley Tucci – "Conclave" | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Willem Dafoe – "Nosferatu" | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edward Norton - "A Complete Unknown" | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yura Borisov - "Anora" | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremy Strong - “The Apprentice” | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actor C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d | Winninghumbly | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | 11122 | Jeremy Strong - “The Apprentice” | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d | Cryptonite101 | Yura Borisov - "Anora" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d | 11122 | Guy Pearce – "The Brutalist" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,458 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d | 11122 | Edward Norton - "A Complete Unknown" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 593d |  AiBets | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,326 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 593d |  AgricultureSecretary | Yura Borisov - "Anora" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$18 +1.3% | 20 |
| 593d | AgricultureSecretary | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$37 +3.2% | 20 |
| 593d | Tolin | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$115 +4.7% | 20 |
| 593d | MarMariEmmanuel | Guy Pearce – "The Brutalist" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,627 | +$19 +0.7% | 20 |
| 594d | diugan | Guy Pearce – "The Brutalist" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,824 | +$24 +0.6% | 20 |
| 595d | lovers | Jeremy Strong - “The Apprentice” | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,975 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 597d | hulu | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$53 −4.1% | — |
| 597d |  just.some.guy | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,591 | −$191 −4.2% | — |
| 600d | affs207912 fills | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,951 | +$549 +6.1% | 20 |
| 600d | hulu | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$87 +6.4% | 20 |
| 621d | just.some.guy | Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$712 +32% | 20 |
| 632d |  pirateshere | Stanley Tucci – "Conclave" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,647 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | rpo | Denzel Washington – "Gladiator II" | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,904 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | rpo | Willem Dafoe – "Nosferatu" | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,506 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | AgricultureSecretary | Clarence Maclin – "Sing Sing" | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 20 |
| 632d | nola72324 | Denzel Washington – "Gladiator II" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,882 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 |
| 632d | nola723242 fills | Stanley Tucci – "Conclave" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,569 | +$61 +0.9% | 20 |
| 632d | nola723242 fills | Willem Dafoe – "Nosferatu" | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,765 | +$62 +0.7% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Supporting Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" means the market gives it about 100%.