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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round 6 | 100% | +95 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Round 1 | 0% | −16 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 2 | 0% | −20 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 3 | 0% | −14 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 4 | 0% | −8 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 5 | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 7 | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Round 8 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight goes the Distance | 0% | −24 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301d | BABELCONSTEL | Round 1 | SellNo>99¢ | $79,950 | −$80 −0.1% | — |
| 301d | 0xb5257c069356192959e2a8e4eC1CfC469f87BdC2 fills | Round 1 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,340 | −$371 −6.9% | — |
| 301d | Cookie8891 | Round 1 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,224 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 301d | 0xb5257c069356192959e2a8e4eC1CfC469f87BdC | Round 2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,826 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 301d | anon0082 fills | Round 6 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,450 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 301d |  1sk | Round 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,035 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d |  Parz1vaI | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,667 +122% | 4 |
| 301d | 0xb5257c069356192959e2a8e4eC1CfC469f87BdC3 fills | Round 1 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,360 | +$767 +18% | 8 |
| 301d |  ZynBaby2 fills | Round 1 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | +$457 +18% | 4 |
| 301d | 0xb5257c069356192959e2a8e4eC1CfC469f87BdC | Round 2 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$351 +22% | 4 |
| 301d | scrapbook | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,000 +33% | 4 |
| 301d | azuresteel | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
| 301d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089153 fills | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $8,125 | −$8,125 −100% | 4 |
| 301d | Cylindrical-Cribbage | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$554 +33% | 4 |
| 301d | 250ondrawsonly | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,525 | −$1,525 −100% | 4 |
| 301d | Unripe-Revolver | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | +$1,250 +33% | 4 |
| 301d | SammySledge2 fills | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $5,087 | −$5,087 −100% | 4 |
| 301d | Tango22 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 4 |
| 301d | EscalateFund | Round 2 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,346 | +$662 +28% | 4 |
| 301d | BABELCONSTEL12 fills | Round 1 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $66,087 | +$12,376 +19% | 5 |
| 301d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,928 | +$544 +28% | 4 |
| 301d | Extreme77 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$301 +25% | 4 |
| 301d | Elias1331 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 4 |
| 301d | Sharpyyy | Round 1 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$245 +23% | 4 |
| 302d |  kiki.aoe | Round 2 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,047 | +$1,243 +25% | 4 |
| 302d | kiki.aoe3 fills | Round 1 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $9,624 | +$1,876 +19% | 7 |
| 302d | Original-PlaintiffNew account | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$593 +30% | 16 |
| 302d | gmanas | Round 1 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,847 | −$1,847 −100% | 4 |
| 302d | Countryside | Round 1 | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 4 |
| 302d | SammySledge | Round 1 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$570 +19% | 4 |
| 302d | tiburon | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | +$538 +32% | 4 |
| 302d | Kazzykaz | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 14 |
| 303d |  pup12 fills | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,120 | +$880 +28% | 10 |
| 303d | Cookie8891 | Round 1 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$196 +19% | 8 |
| 303d | smegma3000 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 9 |
| 304d |  lranon2nd | Round 1 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$310 +18% | 7 |
| 305d | Unripe-Revolver | Fight goes the Distance | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | −$363 −22% | — |
| 305d | kiki.aoe | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$369 +30% | 8 |
| 305d | Jest55 | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$345 +30% | 8 |
| 305d | lranon-tempacct | Round 1 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,713 | +$351 +21% | 7 |
| 305d | astapzippo | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$568 +30% | 8 |
| 305d | Nicksypoo | Fight goes the Distance | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,135 | +$1,235 +30% | 8 |
| 305d | BABELCONSTEL | Fight goes the Distance | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight ends in the listed round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if there is a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for the fight ending in round 7 will resolve to "Yes". If this fight is ruled a no contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be the official scoring of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Round 6 means the market gives it about 100%.