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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 440d |
| $50M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $80M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $100M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $500M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 440d |
| $300M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 440d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204d | gOPUL | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,884 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | gOPUL | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,524 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | gOPUL | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | gOPUL | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,896 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 204d |  TTokin | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | TTokin | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,219 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d |  toohorny | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,042 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | sleepin | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,398 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d |  Infringe | $100M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$27 +2.1% | 2 |
| 204d | seedah2 fills | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $6,090 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | tradexplorer | $200M | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$1,264 −82% | — |
| 205d | joeyyyyehd | $200M | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | −$1,008 −100% | 2 |
| 205d |  rickcoindoctor | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | sjfuw | $80M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,597 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d | seedah | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d | npph666 | $200M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$173 −16% | — |
| 205d | yulen | $80M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 206d | Infringe | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$21 +1.4% | 2 |
| 206d | tradexplorer | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | +$156 +7.7% | 2 |
| 206d | npph666 | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$178 +7.7% | 2 |
| 206d | 0xEB6789cA6b1425fF908a69a2a5469C38532C | $80M | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | +$433 +28% | 2 |
| 206d | trungminh123 | $50M | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$143 +12% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perle's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perle Labs (https://x.com/PerleLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 0%.