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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit | 100% | +44 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| PARIVISION | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FURIA | 0% | −16 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Falcons | 0% | −44 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| G2 | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The MongolZ | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MOUZ | 0% | −13 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aurora | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Heroic | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gentle Mates | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monte | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| K27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fisher College | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9z | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magic | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Huns | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d |  xReapex | Spirit | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Fragrant-Spruce | Spirit | SellYes>99¢ | $2,136 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  noreasapa | Falcons | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 153d | Fragrant-Spruce | Spirit | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$746 +63% | 14 |
| 153d | IwillWin1337 | Spirit | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$1,034 +79% | 12 |
| 153d |  MaxDePayne | Falcons | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$892 +79% | 12 |
| 153d | MaxDePayne | Spirit | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$1,034 +79% | 12 |
| 154d | Bellan | Falcons | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,208 | +$2,208 +100% | — |
| 154d | noreasapa2 fills | Magic | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,391 | +$32 +0.3% | 4 |
| 154d |  BredoStrategy5 fills | Falcons | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,195 | +$1,942 +31% | 6 |
| 155d | noreasapa | 9z | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,142 | +$56 +0.8% | 4 |
| 155d | noreasapa | G2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 156d | pebnis69420 | Spirit | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | +$1,350 +100% | — |
| 156d | BredoStrategy | Falcons | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | −$1,250 −33% | — |
| 157d |  Stickman22 | Spirit | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 6 |
| 157d | noreasapa | The MongolZ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,873 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 157d | noreasapa | Monte | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,018 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | noreasapa | PARIVISION | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,621 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 158d | noreasapa | The Huns | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,811 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | noreasapa | Heroic | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,452 | +$24 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | rodriguezjames2 fills | Spirit | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,666 | −$3,666 −100% | 6 |
| 160d | M-mr | Falcons | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,529 | −$1,529 −100% | 6 |
| 160d | brendaabbott | Spirit | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Astana 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 9th - May 17th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/PGL/2026/Astana) may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Spirit means the market gives it about 100%.