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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 19 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 22 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 21 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d |  DedushkaSol | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,329 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | cripes3 | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | cripes3 | February 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,658 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | cobaltwhisper23 | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,166 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d |  x.o | February 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,593 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | Flancho | February 20 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | x.o | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,727 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | Stingy-MarxismNew account | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,234 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | jkrollingdice | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,707 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | Predictandbreathe | February 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,417 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 240d |  RockyZet | February 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,505 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | jjlin89757 | February 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,267 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | jjlin89757 | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,870 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | worldcupno1 | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,942 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | wtffffffffking2 fills | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,292 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 240d | Trustinghorse | February 21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,632 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | Trustinghorse | February 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,955 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 240d | Trustinghorse | February 20 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,038 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 240d | Vital-Mathematics | February 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,186 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 240d |  duderr | February 19 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$72 +3.1% | 20 |
| 240d | gurenus | February 19 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | −$127 −5.2% | — |
| 240d | Predictandbreathe | February 19 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$203 +7.7% | 20 |
| 240d | RIC254 fills | February 19 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,296 | +$285 +5.4% | 20 |
| 240d |  Ahpo | February 19 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,451 | −$575 −23% | — |
| 240d |  Cungly | February 19 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$431 +28% | 20 |
Multicolored-Lay526 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Prince Andrew is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Prince Andrew is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Prince Andrew to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Extradition of Prince Andrew to another country where he remains in custody will also not count. Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 19 means the market gives it about 100%.