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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706d | 0xfe91…70ff | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,520 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | demomoneymker | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | dabman | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,918 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | SomeRandomGuy | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 707d |  meowinglion | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,510 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 709d | TimBalz2 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $109,067 | +$2,681 +2.5% | 4 |
| 709d |  NadyaSuleman | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,454 | −$50 −1.1% | — |
| 709d | SureBet745 | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,897 | −$308 −6.3% | — |
| 710d | politcsbetttooor | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,529 | −$503 −11% | — |
| 710d | BowieBowWow32 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $123,473 | −$123K −100% | 4 |
| 710d | comical-32782212 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$15,596 +236% | 19 |
| 712d | NadyaSuleman | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$4,287 +258% | 11 |
| 722d |  truthteller2 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $5,333 | −$8,333 −156% | — |
| 722d | JJJASON | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,167 | −$3,389 −156% | — |
| 722d | truthteller2 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $3,013 | +$5,267 +175% | 7 |
| 724d | Shane536 | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 4 |
| 725d | KennyM2 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$4,115 +159% | 6 |
| 726d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment3 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $7,106 | −$7,106 −100% | 4 |
| 726d | ThePope5 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $11,480 | +$18,194 +158% | 9 |
| 728d | xen6664 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $23,481 | +$40,016 +170% | 12 |
| 730d | nada | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | −$3,856 −163% | — |
| 733d |  itsgg | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$2,665 +227% | 5 |
| 734d | Pondermint6 fills | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $15,759 | −$15,759 −100% | 4 |
| 735d | fdghdf | Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | +$1,340 +100% | — |
Secret14thKey61 sharesOn October 5, Keith Rabois (@rabois) tweeted "Trump wins PA, MI and GA. AZ too." (see: https://x.com/rabois/status/1842717862684762370?s=46) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.