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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15M | 100% | +10 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $20M | 0% | −45 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $30M | 0% | −12 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $40M | 0% | −4 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $50M | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $60M | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d |  0xLoneStar | $15M | SellYes>99¢ | $8,147 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | dontknow. | $15M | SellYes>99¢ | $11,335 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  pablitoarc | $15M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | yougotme | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,975 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | yougotme | $15M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,692 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 278d | 🐥🥚🐣 | $15M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,211 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | nohedge | $30M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,334 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  Burnmoneyuser | $15M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,244 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 278d |  Cointraders | $30M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,078 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 278d |  YoloNation | $30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,375 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d |  Totenkopf | $15M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 278d |  SnitchingRat | $15M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 278d |  0xRacist | $20M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 278d |  badmoshbillu | $30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,305 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d |  Polisadnik | $20M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$44 −3.9% | — |
| 278d | notmuch | $30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d |  inrvoice | $30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,379 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 278d |  anamnesis | $20M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$58 +3.9% | 2 |
| 278d | Tree0x | $20M | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$104 −9.8% | — |
| 278d |  berboche | $60M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,719 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Japankov | $60M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,595 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 279d | dontknow.4 fills | $15M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,560 | +$1,157 +14% | 2 |
| 279d | wwyy | $30M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 279d | Crya | $20M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$70 −5.3% | — |
| 279d | wwyy | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 279d | stealer | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,976 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 279d | 0xLoneStar2 fills | $15M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$181 +5.3% | 2 |
| 279d | HollowTeacup | $20M | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | +$496 +22% | 2 |
| 279d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,550 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 279d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | $50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,642 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 279d | Crya | $20M | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$234 +22% | 2 |
| 279d | tsekinming01 | $60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,043 | +$37 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | $60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,204 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 279d | danielleggerman | $30M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$23 +2.2% | 2 |
| 279d |  BIGTONKA | $30M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,974 | +$58 +1.9% | 2 |
| 279d | Burnmoneyuser | $20M | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$620 +41% | 2 |
| 279d | sleepinginthegym1 | $15M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | +$206 +9.7% | 2 |
| 279d | JohnWitcher | $30M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$39 +3.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  0x2048Ba14eC0CAD6e8d308C25f6EFdfDE23b0f5 | $15M | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$219 −18% | — |
| 279d | but82 fills | $15M | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,773 | −$338 −12% | — |
| 279d | Japankov | $60M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$13 +0.8% | 2 |
| 279d | HomelessBum2 fills | $30M | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $13,348 | +$1,862 +14% | 2 |
| 279d | Macs3 | $20M | SellYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,258 | +$2,258 +100% | — |
| 279d | asdfasdxcxc | $30M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$614 +8.2% | 2 |
| 279d | asdfasdxcxc | $20M | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,705 +171% | 2 |
| 279d | HomelessBum | $40M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,290 | +$710 +7.6% | 2 |
| 279d | nohedge | $15M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$98 +6.3% | 2 |
| 279d | berboche | $60M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,906 | +$58 +1.5% | 2 |
| 279d | nen8 | $40M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $13,181 | +$2,326 +18% | 2 |
| 279d | asdfasdxcxc3 fills | $50M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $30,789 | +$3,828 +12% | 2 |
| 279d | v1101 | $40M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $9,279 | +$1,638 +18% | 2 |
| 279d | v1101 | $30M | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$935 +45% | 2 |
| 279d | fabauz | $40M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$546 +18% | 2 |
| 279d | Harsh-Caravan | $30M | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$1,935 +72% | 2 |
| 279d | Macs3 | $20M | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 2 |
| 279d | Immaculate-OspreyNew account | $15M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$53 +3.1% | 2 |
| 279d | Immaculate-OspreyNew account | $20M | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $2,495 | −$2,495 −100% | 3 |
| 279d | Mastazq | $40M | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,097 | −$1,097 −100% | 2 |
| 279d | Mastazq | $30M | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 2 |
| 279d | HollowTeacup | $20M | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,068 | −$2,068 −100% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ranger's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ranger (https://x.com/ranger_finance/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $15M means the market gives it about 100%.
