Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487d |  Emptiness.2 fills | Record low border encounters in May? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,900 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 492d | Emptiness.2 fills | Record low border encounters in May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,268 | +$212 +2.9% | 4 |
| 497d |  kl1v2 fills | Record low border encounters in May? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$394 +16% | 4 |
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for May 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for May 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for May 2025 (FYTD) by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.