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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Larry Ellison | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Arnault | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeff Bezos | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jensen Huang | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Buffett | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steve Ballmer | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Page | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergey Brin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | Bright-Hurry | Elon Musk | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 202d | MackHubbard | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | LavaughnGrimes | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | CamilleNoble | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | DelilahPowell | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | AlyssaWilliams | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | GavinTran | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | OrlandoSchwartz | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | JuleJones | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | DavinaLeach | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | AllieLozano | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | NylaMartinez | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | EdselKemp | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | KnoxSmith | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | BooneMorrison | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | ArtemisChurch | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | MatteoShepherd | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | RosaliaEspinosa | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | MonroeHodge | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | DaleyzaClark | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | EloiseOrtiz | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | SariahGray | Jeff Bezos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | SheaGarcia2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,099 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | EstherHicks2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,097 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | KylianHuffman | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | VeraBrown | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,092 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | FinnleyMendoza | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,071 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | GiovanniOsborne | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,088 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | DamonBurton | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,107 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Giffordd2 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,089 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 205d | Kimballl8 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 205d | Ethan6 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,278 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 205d | TraceDelacruz | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Veronica3221 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,046 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 205d | Medwin553 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,243 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 205d | Dependable-StirfryNew account | Bernard Arnault | SellNo>99¢ | $1,085 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 205d | Dependable-StirfryNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Devoted-PriestNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Spherical-PineappleNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Gleeful-EchidnaNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Rubbery-EmotionNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | Feisty-BetNew account | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | KaiyaKing | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | AugustTanner | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | BlueStrong | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | KeatonSmith | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | EstebanKennedy | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | NovaleePerez | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | ZayneWatson | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | MorganHoffman | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | IzaiahBeck | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | BillJames | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | ColsonMendoza | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | SerenityYoung | Bernard Arnault | SellNo>99¢ | $1,104 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 205d | SerenityYoung | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | JesusHoward | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,120 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | KaydenJordan | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | AlayahFlores | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | DominickWilliams | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | AdelaideDavis | Bernard Arnault | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elon Musk means the market gives it about 100%.