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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moana Pasifika | 100% | +85 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fijian Drua | 0% | −83 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d |  playmade2 fills | Fijian Drua | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $7,610 | −$3,921 −52% | — |
| 251d | playmade2 fills | Fijian Drua | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,724 | +$807 +7.5% | 4 |
This event is for the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific match between Fijian Drua and Moana Pasifika, scheduled for February 13 2026.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Moana Pasifika means the market gives it about 100%.