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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1-2b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$1b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $2-3b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $3-4b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $4-5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900d |  kickstandhater | $2-3b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 900d |  Anjun | $3-4b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 901d | Anjun | <$1b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 907d | kickstandhater | <$1b | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$67 +6.6% | 2 |
| 912d |  lancelot-767 | $3-4b | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$428 +27% | 2 |
| 913d | Atsui | >$5b | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$326 +15% | 2 |
| 918d | 123d | $4-5b | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$230 +22% | 2 |
| 920d | 123d | >$5b | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$284 +23% | 2 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $1-2b means the market gives it about 100%.