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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothée Chalamet - "A Complete Unknown" | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Adrien Brody - "The Brutalist" | 0% | −60 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Craig - "Queer" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colman Domingo - "Sing Sing" | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ralph Fiennes - "Conclave" | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600d |  just.some.guy | Timothée Chalamet - "A Complete Unknown" | SellYes>99¢ | $1,310 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Timothée Chalamet - "A Complete Unknown" means the market gives it about 100%.