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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Saavedra | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jhonny Fernández | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Angélica Sosa | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soo Hyun Chung | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Oscar Vargas | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luciano Negrete | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Félix Oros | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vicente Cuéllar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alfredo Solares | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Gary Áñez | 0% | +1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d |  Cloverince | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,494 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | 0xzipper | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | Cloverince | Angélica Sosa | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | Abandoned-Counsel10 fills | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,158 | +$42 +0.3% | 10 |
| 207d |  HowToBasic | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | −$40 −2.3% | — |
| 208d | diadjaid2 fills | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,132 | −$62 −1.0% | — |
| 208d | Alpha-Seeker | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 208d | mads3992 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$21 +1.7% | 10 |
| 209d | HowToBasic | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$57 +5.4% | 12 |
| 209d | direct-claw | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | −$102 −6.7% | — |
| 209d | cakeqk88 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$101 −6.7% | — |
| 209d | recyclekc712 fills | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | −$195 −7.5% | — |
| 209d | motion.dwarf.desert | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$99 +7.1% | 12 |
| 209d | exclude103 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$106 −8.5% | — |
| 210d | exclude103 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$104 +8.3% | 12 |
| 210d | simpleCategory | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$120 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | muffin-fruit-toy | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$118 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | alert-analyst | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$113 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | bidlm512 fills | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | −$226 −8.8% | — |
| 210d | originalText | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$120 −9.1% | — |
| 210d | originalText | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$110 +8.2% | 12 |
| 210d | ecologyao43 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | −$111 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | mandateSlight | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | −$105 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | auditha42 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$101 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | transfer-impulse | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | −$112 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | Merry-Arrest-Prefer | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$84 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | shellPeasant | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$128 −8.2% | — |
| 210d | embrace585 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$88 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | orienthp48 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$100 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | auto-waste | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$91 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | glance-destroy-caught | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$137 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | embrace585 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$89 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | local-field | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$114 −8.6% | — |
| 210d | guide273 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$108 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | eager-rough | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$116 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | responseValid | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | +$130 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | repairwg99 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$148 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | present.make.enact | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$98 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | welcome-puzzle | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$148 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | Waste-Sell | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | +$148 +8.5% | 12 |
| 210d | cakeqk88 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$120 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | departReveal | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$103 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | departReveal | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$114 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | Jarforce | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$88 −8.6% | — |
| 210d | absent707 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | −$136 −8.6% | — |
| 210d | absent707 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$136 +8.6% | 12 |
| 210d | Jarforce | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$134 +8.6% | 12 |
| 210d | fold522 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | −$133 −8.6% | — |
| 210d | perfect.perfect.gaze | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | −$123 −8.6% | — |
| 210d | swear-arena | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | −$131 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | cycleLibrary | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$129 −8.8% | — |
| 210d | render5335 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$98 −8.8% | — |
| 210d | render5335 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$96 +8.7% | 12 |
| 210d | swim210 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | −$145 −8.9% | — |
| 210d | Embody-Dinosaur | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$94 −8.9% | — |
| 210d | Embody-Dinosaur | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$93 +8.8% | 12 |
| 210d | Elementfish | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$104 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | clapbw81 | Manuel Saavedra | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$105 −8.7% | — |
| 210d | clapbw81 | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$92 +8.8% | 12 |
| 210d | Elementfish | Manuel Saavedra | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$105 +8.8% | 12 |
The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manuel Saavedra means the market gives it about 100%.