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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 100% | +2 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 441d |
| $20M | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 441d |
| $100M | 0% | −55 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| $200M | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| $300M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183d | jojomanio | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,707 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Po1688 | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,521 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Cactus-001 | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,301 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | xuejiao | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,028 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 183d | xiaoxue6731 | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,193 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d |  psyph3r | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,316 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 183d | Tingyi1026 | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,901 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | jojomanio | $50M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | +$82 +3.1% | 2 |
| 183d |  EleveResearch | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | EleveResearch | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | +$24 +1.1% | 2 |
| 183d | liangzi1990 | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | +$33 +1.2% | 2 |
| 183d |  leleko2k | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$25 +1.2% | 2 |
| 183d | leleko2k | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | Limping-Committee | $200M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 184d | SuuSuuuu | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | newguy666 | $50M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$59 −3.7% | — |
| 184d |  sarutobekingcabac | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 184d | hyyy66666 | $50M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | −$49 −3.4% | — |
| 184d | ppobb1123 | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,069 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d |  alphaalii | $20M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,210 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | 20072007 | $100M | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$542 +39% | 2 |
| 185d | 1881aa2 fills | $50M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | −$44 −1.4% | — |
| 185d | Tremendous-Permission | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,761 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 185d | yulen7 fills | $200M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $14,659 | +$976 +6.7% | 2 |
| 185d | rusgreat | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,236 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 185d | seedah | $20M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,068 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 185d | maizi0601 | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$82 +7.6% | 2 |
| 185d | maizi0601 | $100M | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$1,024 +92% | 2 |
| 185d | Cryptoking1242 fills | $20M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$101 +4.3% | 2 |
| 185d | Cryptoking1242 fills | $50M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$206 +9.2% | 2 |
| 185d | SuuSuuuu2 fills | $50M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,935 | +$49 +1.7% | 2 |
| 185d | SuuSuuuu | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 185d | Limping-Committee | $200M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$286 +18% | 2 |
| 185d | Only-Top | $100M | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 2 |
| 185d | newguy666 | $50M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | +$83 +3.2% | 2 |
| 187d | alphaalii | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 192d | pg1313 | $50M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$239 +14% | 2 |
| 195d | yulen2 fills | $20M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,237 | +$58 +1.4% | 2 |
| 195d | JasonOu2024 | $50M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$69 +6.4% | 2 |
| 195d | JasonOu2024 | $20M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | −$35 −1.9% | — |
| 195d | 0xEB6789cA6b1425fF908a69a2a5469C38532C | $20M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | −$56 −2.0% | — |
| 197d | 1881aa | $20M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | +$82 +4.2% | 2 |
| 200d |  chenqiang | $20M | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | −$157 −10.0% | — |
| 207d | 0xEB6789cA6b1425fF908a69a2a5469C38532C | $20M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$162 +11% | 2 |
| 207d | JasonOu2024 | $20M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$118 +6.6% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Sentio's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Sentio (https://x.com/sentioxyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $50M means the market gives it about 100%.