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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 477d | Social security checks delayed/not sent before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | −$33 −2.8% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between March 24, 2025, and June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET, a scheduled batch of Social Security benefits is delayed or not delivered on time for 10,000 or more recipients. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.