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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Glucksmann | 100% | +15 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Segolene Royal | 0% | −6 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olivier Faure | 0% | −9 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Philippe Brun | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karim Bouamrane | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francois Hollande | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boris Vallaud | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jérôme Guedj | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carole Delga | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Person AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 14d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | WillBeQuant | Olivier Faure | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 6d |  gmgmgmgmg | Segolene Royal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 6d | e46m3 | Olivier Faure | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$36 +3.1% | 10 |
| 6d | StudentMoney | Raphael Glucksmann | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$68 +3.1% | 10 |
| 6d |  Giorgio22 fills | Raphael Glucksmann | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$126 +4.5% | 10 |
| 36d |  Fuentes31 | Raphael Glucksmann | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$582 +52% | 10 |
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Raphael Glucksmann means the market gives it about 100%.