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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $56-64m | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$56m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $64-72m | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $72-80m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$80m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662d |  Vespuccii | $56-64m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,122 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 662d | Gallo2 fills | $56-64m | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,056 | −$114 −2.8% | — |
| 662d | Vespuccii | $64-72m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,977 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 662d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | $56-64m | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,053 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  Euan2 fills | $56-64m | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$1,341 +62% | 9 |
| 662d | Caveman12 | $56-64m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,425 | −$63 −1.8% | — |
| 662d |  Mr.Lovegood | $56-64m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 663d | Euan | $56-64m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,747 | −$58 −1.0% | — |
| 663d | Hadrian212 | $56-64m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 663d |  pirateshere | <$56m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,401 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 663d | aviato | >$80m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 663d | Oxacbbaef6 fills | $56-64m | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $8,631 | −$1,606 −19% | — |
| 663d | Pastel-Dozen | $56-64m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,435 | −$43 −1.8% | — |
| 663d | cigarettes2 fills | $72-80m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,825 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 663d | cigarettes | $64-72m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$54 +1.8% | 4 |
| 663d |  Office Lover | $56-64m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,509 | +$82 +1.8% | 4 |
| 663d | oneday1 | $56-64m | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$53 −5.3% | — |
| 663d |  AgricultureSecretary | $64-72m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,340 | +$337 +5.3% | 5 |
| 663d | jinsun... | $56-64m | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$278 +21% | 9 |
| 663d | Oxacbbaef | $56-64m | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$226 +13% | 7 |
| 663d | jinsun... | $64-72m | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,340 | +$1,226 +19% | 8 |
| 663d | Vespuccii | $64-72m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,990 | +$625 +21% | 9 |
| 663d |  Negeto6 fills | $56-64m | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $11,619 | +$6,252 +54% | 9 |
| 663d | Negeto5 fills | $64-72m | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $13,454 | +$4,765 +35% | 8 |
| 664d | Pastel-Dozen | $64-72m | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,194 | −$1,194 −100% | 10 |
| 664d | Pastel-Dozen2 fills | $64-72m | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | −$1,151 −37% | — |
| 664d | Pastel-Dozen | $56-64m | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,546 | −$2,546 −100% | 13 |
| 664d | blasttt | $56-64m | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,335 | +$1,053 +32% | 8 |
| 664d | Melody6262 fills | $56-64m | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$913 +34% | 8 |
| 664d | cigarettes | >$80m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | Melody626 | $64-72m | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | +$969 +40% | 9 |
| 664d |  aenews2 | $64-72m | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 10 |
| 664d |  vocifer | $64-72m | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 12 |
| 664d | vocifer | $56-64m | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $7,435 | −$7,435 −100% | 17 |
| 664d |  WordleAddict | $64-72m | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | −$1,105 −100% | 9 |
| 664d | Pastel-Dozen | $56-64m | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | +$919 +43% | 9 |
| 664d | Pastel-Dozen | $64-72m | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$2,323 +117% | 10 |
| 664d | Negeto | $72-80m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$33 +2.0% | 4 |
| 664d | peso | $64-72m | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $3,670 | +$3,670 +100% | — |
| 664d | Ultimate-Reader | $56-64m | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$2,556 −177% | — |
| 664d | Vespuccii | $64-72m | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | −$1,410 −100% | 9 |
| 664d |  KimJonEn | <$56m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | +$35 +1.3% | 4 |
| 664d | Winninghumbly2 fills | >$80m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,394 | +$80 +1.8% | 4 |
| 665d |  stormshadow2 fills | $72-80m | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,736 | +$899 +10% | 6 |
| 665d |  Wickier | $56-64m | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$3,657 +238% | 11 |
| 665d | Wickier | $64-72m | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | +$1,108 +100% | — |
| 665d | Euan | $64-72m | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,528 | −$2,528 −100% | 11 |
| 665d | asdfasdfasdfg | $56-64m | BuyYes15¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$8,192 +567% | 11 |
| 665d |  GUHHH | >$80m | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$150 +12% | 6 |
| 665d | Gallo | >$80m | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | −$148 −5.8% | — |
| 665d | GUHHH | <$56m | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | −$131 −6.8% | — |
| 665d | Hadrian212 | >$80m | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$49 −4.5% | — |
| 665d | Wickier | $64-72m | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,132 | −$2,132 −100% | 11 |
| 666d | aenews2 | >$80m | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$1,889 +170% | 6 |
TimeTraveler16,014 shares
Lehi5,000 shares
Keepgoing8118 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Sonic 3'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $56-64m means the market gives it about 100%.