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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 578d | TenChuSama | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,486 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 578d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,089 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 578d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,662 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 579d | Elfandi | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | +$56 +2.0% | 4 |
| 626d | spacexastronaut | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$308 +31% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NASA astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore depart the International Space Station (ISS) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The astronauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the ISS and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from NASA and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.