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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 596d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,402 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 597d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | −$9 −0.5% | — | |
| 599d | Trump4Pump | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 626d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,710 | +$290 +7.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NASA astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore depart the International Space Station (ISS) by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The astronauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the ISS and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from NASA and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.