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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529d |  Gemini456 | Spain power outage caused by hack? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,395 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 530d |  UwO2 fills | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,574 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 532d | exposito | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,288 | +$38 +1.2% | 4 |
| 532d | LBZone4 fills | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,326 | +$101 +1.6% | 4 |
| 533d |  Car4 fills | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,412 | +$302 +4.1% | 4 |
| 535d | BlindGibbon3 fills | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,282 | +$525 +4.7% | 4 |
| 536d | dmz | Spain power outage caused by hack? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$29 +2.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.