Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $7,000 | 100% | +17 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,040 | 0% | −10 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,700 | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,900 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,600 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,750 | 0% | −9 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,350 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,100 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,200 | 0% | −23 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,800 | 100% | +34 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | WuTangClan2 fills | ↓ $6,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,027 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | WuTangClan | ↑ $7,040 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,282 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | WuTangClan | ↓ $6,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,628 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | WuTangClan | ↓ $6,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | chaosj88 | ↑ $7,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | seedah | ↑ $7,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,957 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 259d | deranged | ↓ $6,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,885 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 260d | oipjgcxrf | ↑ $7,040 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 262d | MistahFox | ↑ $7,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,734 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 267d | CamelUp | ↑ $7,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,854 | −$1,854 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | MistahFox | ↓ $6,900 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,250 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 281d |  olegs | ↓ $6,900 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,346 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of January 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $7,000 means the market gives it about 100%.