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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235d | harrypotterr | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,372 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 235d | rodvargast | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 235d |  OraculumNobius | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,432 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 235d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 235d | wabawhje | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 235d | DegenEriccro2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $4,303 | +$115 +2.7% | 5 |
| 235d | satrader88pm | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyUp91¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 6 |
| 235d | weekyweeky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | +$1,188 +100% | — |
| 235d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellUp77¢ → 0¢ | $3,082 | +$3,082 +100% | — |
| 235d |  Alien.btc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyDown24¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$3,382 +317% | 12 |
| 235d | Alien.btc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown25¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$3,033 −300% | — |
| 235d | YilangM | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyUp68¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | −$1,053 −100% | 12 |
| 235d | TomThomas90 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellUp62¢ → 0¢ | $1,655 | +$1,655 +100% | — |
| 235d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | SellDown36¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$2,593 −176% | — |
| 235d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? | BuyDown30¢ → 100¢ | $2,382 | +$5,563 +234% | 15 |
BlackswanHunter600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 24 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 24 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.