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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,515 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 226d | XA057 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,859 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 226d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,368 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 226d | banepir | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,496 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 226d |  VdeVolsa | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 226d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 226d | Melody-L2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $5,232 | +$85 +1.6% | 4 |
| 226d | 0xe617…f251 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$343 +6.9% | 6 |
| 226d |  residual | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$325 +15% | 7 |
| 226d | Rull7772 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$275 +11% | 7 |
| 226d | XA057 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$646 +43% | 12 |
| 226d | sdhyky2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | −$2,167 −76% | — |
| 226d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$981 +64% | 12 |
| 226d | ujyhrtgvervefdsewf | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | −$1,018 −100% | 12 |
| 226d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | SellUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | +$1,462 +100% | — |
| 226d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | BuyUp64¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 12 |
DCABC4,243 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 5 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 5 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.