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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $755 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82d | loveheng | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,576 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | suyizi | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,929 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | ppobb1123 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,748 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 82d | kodeoed | $730 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | +$71 +2.3% | 5 |
| 82d | Hateful-Craw | $730 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$55 +4.8% | 6 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $755 means the market gives it about 0%.