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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122d | hermesss123 | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,212 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 122d | loveheng | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,794 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 122d | ppobb1123 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,805 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 100%.