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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150d | Private-Pantologist | $740 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,880 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | cryptothan | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,597 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | cryptothan3 fills | $735 | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $3,704 | −$3,704 −100% | 12 |
| 150d | hermesss123 | $725 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$20 +1.8% | 5 |
| 150d | kodeoed | $725 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,363 | +$99 +2.9% | 5 |
| 150d | kodeoed | $745 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | +$33 +1.2% | 4 |
| 151d | cryptothan | $735 | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,808 | +$1,808 +100% | — |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 0%.