Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +94 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | C03B2 fills | $735 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,438 | +$28 +0.4% | 4 |
| 163d |  olegs | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,188 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | olegs | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,807 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | orderfill | $710 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,436 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 164d |  Quandal | $735 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | −$72 −5.4% | — |
| 164d | pennedreadful | $725 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$925 +48% | 12 |
| 164d | Private-Pantologist | $710 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$18 +1.3% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 0%.