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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2B | 0% | −68 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $4B | 0% | −4 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $6B | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311d |  UwO | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,487 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 311d | UwO | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,487 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 311d | gstrader | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,995 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | NicholasWickerson | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 311d |  mioki2 fills | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,782 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 311d |  massimoxbt2 fills | $2B | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $8,944 | −$3,743 −42% | — |
| 311d |  lranon | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,850 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 311d |  dumbestdollars2 fills | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,208 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 311d |  Eevv | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,001 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 311d |  Sridher11 | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 311d | pumpman | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,158 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | Emperorvikky | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,215 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 311d | arisha123 | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $7,042 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 311d | exas7 fills | $2B | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $14,264 | +$2,696 +19% | 2 |
| 311d | Patron1272 fills | $2B | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $6,483 | −$2,681 −41% | — |
| 311d |  Polisadnik | $2B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 311d | grubby-209 | $2B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 311d | btacc2 fills | $2B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,899 | +$115 +2.3% | 2 |
| 311d | btacc | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,074 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 311d | exas6 fills | $2B | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $13,337 | −$3,881 −29% | — |
| 311d | lranon2 fills | $2B | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,130 | +$874 +28% | 2 |
| 311d | maru-xan | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,445 | +$416 +6.5% | 2 |
| 311d | maxdawg | $2B | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,391 | −$598 −25% | — |
| 311d |  berboche2 fills | $2B | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $3,768 | +$3,768 +100% | — |
| 311d | massimoxbt2 fills | $2B | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $3,612 | +$2,805 +78% | 2 |
| 311d | bbgg44 | $2B | SellNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$1,838 −155% | — |
| 312d |  Festka2 fills | $2B | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $4,680 | +$4,680 +100% | — |
| 312d | softik | $2B | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | +$1,233 +100% | — |
| 312d | aisfas | $2B | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,241 | +$1,241 +100% | — |
| 312d | Atn2 fills | $2B | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $3,270 | −$2,834 −87% | — |
| 312d | berboche2 fills | $2B | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 2 |
| 312d | berboche | $2B | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $6,611 | −$4,854 −73% | — |
| 312d | berboche3 fills | $2B | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $6,803 | +$4,662 +69% | 2 |
| 312d | lontou5 fills | $2B | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $10,709 | +$2,771 +26% | 2 |
| 312d | Festka3 fills | $2B | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $5,659 | −$5,659 −100% | 10 |
| 312d | hahahahaa | $2B | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,708 | +$2,708 +100% | — |
| 312d | maydaywin | $2B | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,553 | +$2,553 +100% | — |
| 312d | xplWhale | $2B | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | +$1,673 +100% | 2 |
| 312d | Atn | $2B | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,962 +119% | 3 |
| 312d |  Chaic | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $13,196 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 312d | valor0uss | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d | arcturus | $2B | SellNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,226 | −$2,738 −123% | — |
| 312d | WinterCherry | $2B | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$752 +49% | 2 |
| 312d | Judicious-LicenseNew account | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d |  cuti5 fills | $4B | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $20,426 | −$946 −4.6% | — |
| 312d |  SchrodingerBet | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 312d | gotozer0 | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,983 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 312d | U77C | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,483 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 312d | U77C | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,485 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d | GzzBabyGzz | $2B | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | −$864 −53% | — |
| 312d | Throughrain | $2B | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | +$1,479 +100% | — |
| 312d |  JonaMar666 | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,463 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d | wiggasinparis | $2B | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | −$453 −25% | — |
| 312d | Alfy1014 | $2B | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$231 −22% | — |
| 312d |  DonSpyro2 fills | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,618 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d |  -Shape- | $2B | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$197 −18% | — |
| 312d | wejknrewkd | $2B | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$275 +12% | 2 |
| 312d | Roman466 | $2B | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$149 +14% | 2 |
| 312d |  Nobo | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 312d | topsonrock | $4B | SellNo>99¢ | $32,718 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
5d5d5Monster9,485 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Stable's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Stable (https://www.stable.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $2B means the market gives it about 0%.