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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie, PA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | 100% | — | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Macomb, MI (Detroit) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 23¢ | — | ended |
| Bucks, PA (Philly) | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kent, MI (Grand Rapids) | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pinellas, FL (Tampa Bay) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700d | lug | Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | SellHarris100¢ | $2,443 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 710d | nola72324 | Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | BuyHarris88¢ → 100¢ | $4,333 | +$591 +14% | 4 |
| 710d |  beigesun | Pinellas, FL (Tampa Bay) | BuyHarris28¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 6 |
| 711d | beigesun | Erie, PA | SellHarris44¢ | $1,058 | — | — |
| 715d | DunkBruntley | Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | BuyHarris77¢ → 100¢ | $3,967 | +$1,158 +29% | 6 |
| 716d | rabs | Pinellas, FL (Tampa Bay) | BuyTrump77¢ → 100¢ | $2,017 | +$603 +30% | 6 |
| 716d | lug | Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | BuyHarris75¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$614 +33% | 6 |
| 717d | operationcastle | Macomb, MI (Detroit) | BuyTrump82¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | +$631 +22% | 5 |
| 723d | beigesun2 fills | Clark, NV (Las Vegas) | BuyHarris77¢ → 100¢ | $4,791 | +$1,450 +30% | 4 |
| 725d | PrinceHal2 fills | Macomb, MI (Detroit) | SellTrump82¢ → 100¢ | $5,475 | −$1,214 −22% | — |
| 726d | PrinceHal2 fills | Macomb, MI (Detroit) | BuyTrump81¢ → 100¢ | $4,449 | +$1,051 +24% | 4 |
| 726d |  AiBets | Macomb, MI (Detroit) | BuyTrump81¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$341 +23% | 4 |
| 727d | QGFHC | Erie, PA | SellTrump73¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$562 −37% | — |
| 727d | QGFHC | Erie, PA | BuyTrump73¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$627 +37% | 4 |
| 727d | Dhkjhv | Erie, PA | BuyTrump73¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$486 +37% | 4 |
| 727d | Efhfdf | Erie, PA | BuyTrump73¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$459 +37% | 4 |
| 730d | Akswa | Erie, PA | SellTrump47¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$1,246 −113% | — |
| 730d | Akswa | Erie, PA | BuyTrump55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 730d | SIUWsw | Erie, PA | BuyHarris53¢ | $1,060 | — | 4 |
| 730d | SIUWsw | Erie, PA | SellTrump47¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$1,325 −113% | — |
| 730d | SIUWsw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 730d | Sgdsgh | Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix) | SellHarris65¢ → 0¢ | $1,524 | +$1,524 +100% | — |
| 730d | Sgdsgh | Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix) | BuyHarris65¢ → 0¢ | $1,524 | −$1,524 −100% | 4 |
| 730d | AKIsdw | Erie, PA | SellHarris45¢ | $1,125 | — | — |
| 730d | AKIsdw | Erie, PA | BuyHarris54¢ | $1,350 | — | 4 |
| 730d | AKIsdw | Erie, PA | SellTrump47¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$1,325 −113% | — |
| 730d | AKIsdw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 730d | Amusing-BanyanNew account | Erie, PA | SellTrump46¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$1,350 −117% | — |
| 730d | Amusing-BanyanNew account | Erie, PA | BuyTrump54¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,150 +85% | 4 |
| 730d | Easy-MultimediaNew account | Erie, PA | SellTrump47¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$1,325 −113% | — |
| 730d | Easy-MultimediaNew account | Erie, PA | BuyTrump55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 730d | SDWSsdw | Erie, PA | SellHarris44¢ | $1,100 | — | — |
| 730d | SDWSsdw | Erie, PA | BuyHarris54¢ | $1,350 | — | 4 |
| 730d | SDWSsdw | Erie, PA | SellTrump46¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$1,350 −117% | — |
| 730d | SDWSsdw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,100 +79% | 4 |
| 730d |  JHSYTt | Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix) | BuyHarris61¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 4 |
| 730d | Agfrd | Erie, PA | SellTrump46¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$1,458 −117% | — |
| 730d | Agfrd | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$1,188 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | Agfrd | Erie, PA | SellHarris44¢ | $1,232 | — | — |
| 730d | Wrgfdg | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$1,232 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | Assrgrg | Erie, PA | SellTrump45¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$1,540 −122% | — |
| 730d | Assrgrg | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$1,232 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | GTHaaaa | Erie, PA | SellTrump45¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$1,320 −122% | — |
| 730d | GTHaaaa | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$1,056 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | Asssdw | Erie, PA | BuyHarris55¢ | $1,100 | — | 4 |
| 730d | Asssdw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | Ajsiw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | FGHTYH | Erie, PA | SellTrump46¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | −$1,674 −117% | — |
| 730d | FGHTYH | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$1,364 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | FGHTYH | Erie, PA | SellHarris44¢ | $1,320 | — | — |
| 730d | GHYTH | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$1,320 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | KSWlsow | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 4 |
| 730d | AJWisow | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$792 +79% | 4 |
| 731d | SKWiskiw | Erie, PA | SellHarris50¢ | $1,000 | — | — |
| 731d | SKWiskiw | Erie, PA | BuyHarris54¢ | $1,620 | — | 4 |
| 731d | SKWiskiw | Erie, PA | SellTrump50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | — |
| 731d | SKWiskiw | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$1,320 +79% | 4 |
| 731d |  MOUYtyi | Erie, PA | BuyTrump55¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$1,196 +82% | 4 |
| 731d |  MUYTs | Erie, PA | BuyTrump56¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$821 +79% | 4 |
| 731d | Gglhkl | Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix) | SellHarris60¢ → 0¢ | $1,407 | +$1,407 +100% | — |
This is a market on the outcome of elections in key swing districts that could determine control of Congress.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Erie, PA means the market gives it about 0%.