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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal | 100% | 0 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| SBC initiative | 0% | −16 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Climate fund initiative | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Individual taxation | 100% | −21 pts | −44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | Individual taxation | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,503 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 222d | Steel-PassiveNew account | Individual taxation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,363 | +$64 +1.0% | 11 |
| 222d | Dreary-CocktailNew account | Individual taxation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$19 +1.0% | 11 |
| 222d | pemg | Individual taxation | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,380 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 222d | lilimeme | Individual taxation | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,213 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 222d | Darboss | Individual taxation | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,455 | −$392 −1.9% | — |
| 222d | Individual taxation | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 223d | lspecogna | Individual taxation | SellYes>99¢ | $1,420 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 223d | 64MGX75VLQ2 fills | SBC initiative | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 223d | 64MGX75VLQ | Individual taxation | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 223d | iamrektomg | Individual taxation | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 223d | Weary-Duplexer | Individual taxation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 223d | unsx3 fills | Individual taxation | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,268 | −$58 −0.7% | — |
| 223d | Individual taxation | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $35,808 | +$1,917 +5.4% | 10 | |
| 223d | GraveTrout11 | Individual taxation | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 223d | Guitaryogi | Individual taxation | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 223d | Climate fund initiative | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,451 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 223d | SBC initiative | SellNo>99¢ | $1,381 | −$6 −0.4% | — | |
| 223d | Cw2 | Climate fund initiative | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,373 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 223d | Raphthebigbossoftheworld | Individual taxation | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$71 −4.9% | — |
| 223d | jeanviande | Individual taxation | SellNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | +$1,341 +100% | — |
| 223d | SBC initiative | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$70 +5.3% | 10 | |
| 223d | Darboss | Individual taxation | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$10,847 +108% | 21 |
| 224d | Individual taxation | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 18 | |
| 224d | Chief-Leverage | Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 224d | 0xe617…f251 | Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$10 +0.3% | 10 |
| 224d | GraveTrout112 fills | Individual taxation | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$2,685 +107% | 12 |
| 224d | Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,641 | +$54 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 225d | backspin2 | Individual taxation | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,064 | +$2,423 +117% | 16 |
| 229d | 0xf4ab…72a1 | Individual taxation | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | +$1,342 +100% | — |
| 231d | justwokeup | SBC initiative | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$89 +6.4% | 10 |
| 231d | piblott | Individual taxation | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | −$2,182 −104% | — |
| 231d | Speedy-Automation | Individual taxation | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $4,990 | +$4,990 +100% | — |
| 232d | Climate fund initiative | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,756 | +$39 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 232d | SBC initiative | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,844 | +$162 +5.7% | 10 | |
| 232d | Individual taxation | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,634 | −$3,611 −99% | — | |
| 233d | gengui | Individual taxation | SellNo46¢ → 0¢ | $5,326 | +$5,326 +100% | — |
| 233d | 0xf4ab…72a1 | Individual taxation | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,773 | −$1,773 −100% | 10 |
| 233d | 0xf4ab…72a1 | Individual taxation | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | −$1,368 −72% | — |
| 237d | CloudCactus | Climate fund initiative | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$26 +2.6% | 10 |
Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/): - Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal - Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative - Issue 3: Climate fund initiative - Issue 4: Individual taxation This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal means the market gives it about 100%.