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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16-19m | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$16m | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$19m | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 731d | jinsun... | >$19m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,824 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 731d | VvVv | <$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 731d |  aenews25 fills | >$19m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,865 | +$201 +0.6% | 4 |
| 731d | VvVv | $16-19m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 731d | aenews26 fills | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $45,742 | +$579 +1.3% | 4 |
| 731d |  mojos | >$19m | BuyNo100¢ | $4,890 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 732d |  PickleRick | $16-19m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$23 +2.1% | 4 |
| 732d | aenews25 fills | $16-19m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,163 | +$219 +1.0% | 4 |
| 732d | cigarettes2 fills | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$18 +0.6% | 4 |
| 732d | cigarettes | >$19m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$40 +2.8% | 4 |
| 732d |  Mr.Lovegood4 fills | $16-19m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,158 | +$187 +2.0% | 4 |
| 732d | Isaak👴 | >$19m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$31 +2.2% | 4 |
| 732d |  MineGuyBonds | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,161 | +$50 +0.7% | 4 |
| 732d | jinsun...2 fills | >$19m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,207 | +$456 +3.5% | 5 |
| 733d | oof | $16-19m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,892 | −$108 −1.8% | — |
| 733d | 😏😏😏 | $16-19m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,935 | −$65 −1.3% | — |
| 733d |  Cajetan | <$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 733d | oof2 fills | >$19m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,497 | −$119 −1.6% | — |
| 733d | 😏😏😏 | <$16m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,416 | −$88 −0.9% | — |
| 733d |  WordleAddict | $16-19m | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$140 −7.5% | — |
| 733d |  Anjun | $16-19m | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | −$214 −6.4% | — |
| 733d |  enderone | >$19m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$58 +5.3% | 4 |
| 733d | Anjun | <$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,838 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 733d | jinsun...3 fills | $16-19m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,826 | +$480 +3.7% | 5 |
| 733d |  Chrome | >$19m | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$270 +22% | 4 |
| 733d |  EdgyUsername | >$19m | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$1,310 +108% | 14 |
| 733d |  GUHHH | >$19m | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$2,058 −106% | — |
| 733d | LFC8 | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,779 | +$20 +0.7% | 4 |
| 733d | Isaak👴 | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 |
| 733d |  crystalfalls | >$19m | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 733d | oof3 fills | >$19m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,303 | +$1,203 +12% | 7 |
| 733d | oof2 fills | $16-19m | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | +$378 +13% | 7 |
| 733d | aenews2 | >$19m | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$365 −32% | — |
| 733d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | >$19m | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 10 |
| 733d | MaxTheMax | $16-19m | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$157 +11% | 7 |
| 733d | MaxTheMax | <$16m | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 10 |
| 734d | 😏😏😏2 fills | <$16m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,388 | +$116 +1.1% | 4 |
| 734d | jinsun...2 fills | <$16m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,023 | +$264 +3.8% | 5 |
| 734d | 😏😏😏 | $16-19m | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,543 | +$457 +10% | 6 |
| 734d | PickleRick | <$16m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,539 | +$356 +3.7% | 5 |
| 734d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | <$16m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$102 +5.4% | 5 |
| 734d | aenews2 | <$16m | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $20,452 | −$2,222 −11% | — |
| 735d | enderone2 fills | <$16m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,227 | +$112 +2.7% | 4 |
| 735d | parkerpete | >$19m | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | — |
| 735d | Ten-566 | <$16m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 735d | aviato | <$16m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$29 +1.6% | 4 |
| 735d | aviato | >$19m | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$1,092 −59% | — |
| 735d |  Wickier | <$16m | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$236 −23% | — |
| 736d |  DramaQueen892 fills | >$19m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,977 | +$837 +21% | 5 |
| 736d |  Secret14thKey | <$16m | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 6 |
| 736d | GUHHH4 fills | >$19m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,372 | +$670 +11% | 5 |
| 737d |  New.Jeans | <$16m | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,589 | −$1,589 −100% | 6 |
This is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Terrifier 3'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $16-19m means the market gives it about 100%.