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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tadej Pogačar | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jonas Vingegaard | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Seixas | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Remco Evenepoel | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florian Lipowitz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Ayuso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isaac del Toro | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tobias Halland Johannessen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tom Pidcock | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cian Uijtdebroeks | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mattias Skjelmose | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Richard Carapaz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Antonio Tiberi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Derek Gee-West | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matteo Jorgenson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thymen Arensman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adam Yates | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jai Hindley | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lenny Martinez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben O'Connor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kévin Vauquelin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Healy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luke Plapp | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lennert Van Eetvelt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egan Bernal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon McNulty | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sepp Kuss | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Storer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew Riccitello | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilan Van Wilder | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valentin Paret-Peintre | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warren Barguil | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyclist A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AP | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AQ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AR | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AS | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AT | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AU | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AV | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AW | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AX | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AY | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist AZ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BP | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BQ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BR | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BS | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BT | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BU | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BV | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BW | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BX | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BY | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist BZ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist CA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Cyclist CB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82d | Serene-Decision9 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $77,633 | +$7,607 +9.8% | 4 |
| 83d | Serene-Decision3 fills | Remco Evenepoel | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $35,371 | +$554 +1.6% | 4 |
| 83d | BISTURI | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,684 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d | OLOTH | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 84d | kgvdotcom3 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,753 | +$280 +3.2% | 4 |
| 84d | Momo632 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,509 | +$183 +2.8% | 4 |
| 84d | Dreamwire | Remco Evenepoel | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | +$66 +3.4% | 4 |
| 86d | sweetj2 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,432 | +$262 +2.8% | 4 |
| 86d | Momo632 fills | Isaac del Toro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,883 | +$21 +0.6% | 4 |
| 87d | SplendidAmadeus5 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,979 | +$490 +8.2% | 4 |
| 89d | Serene-Decision2 fills | Jonas Vingegaard | SellNo>99¢ | $20,507 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Serene-Decision | Paul Seixas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 89d | Serene-Decision7 fills | Jonas Vingegaard | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $103,071 | +$10,893 +11% | 4 |
| 96d | Momo632 fills | Paul Seixas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,879 | +$62 +0.5% | 4 |
| 96d | Tepid-Interject | Tadej Pogačar | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 4 |
| 97d | Momo63 | Florian Lipowitz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,470 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 97d | Momo63 | Juan Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,184 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 97d | Momo63 | Remco Evenepoel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 98d | Lexington | Remco Evenepoel | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 98d | Lexington | Isaac del Toro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 98d | Lexington2 fills | Juan Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,644 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 99d | SplendidAmadeus | Tadej Pogačar | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | −$205 −9.9% | — |
| 99d | SitsToPee | Tadej Pogačar | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$120 −8.7% | — |
| 100d | OLOTH | Paul Seixas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,493 | +$94 +1.1% | 4 |
| 100d |  johannsi19 | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,971 | +$548 +14% | 4 |
| 101d | bathenay5 | Paul Seixas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 101d |  US-Phenom | Tadej Pogačar | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$354 −22% | — |
| 103d | US-Phenom2 fills | Tadej Pogačar | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$644 +24% | 4 |
| 103d | alwayslatetotheparty4 fills | Tadej Pogačar | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,090 | −$1,935 −27% | — |
| 104d | Serene-Decision | Isaac del Toro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,735 | +$89 +0.9% | 4 |
| 104d | Impassioned-Body | Tadej Pogačar | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 4 |
| 104d | Serene-Decision | Florian Lipowitz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | +$24 +1.1% | 4 |
XYZ76769,416 sharesThis market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tadej Pogačar means the market gives it about 100%.