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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eritrea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Great Britain | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kazakhstan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USA | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Country A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90d | Serene-Decision | Denmark | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,950 | +$101 +1.0% | 4 |
| 95d |  4751346 | Slovenia | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$86 +5.3% | 4 |
| 96d | sweetj | Slovenia | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$88 +7.5% | 4 |
| 102d |  US-Phenom | Slovenia | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$201 −16% | — |
AMAM13317 shares
frooty100 sharesThis market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Tour de France champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Tour de France website.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Slovenia means the market gives it about 100%.