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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <45m | 100% | 0 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 45-50m | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >50m | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | aviato6 fills | >50m | SellNo>99¢ | $20,968 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 369d |  cookiejar | <45m | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,348 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d | cigarettes3 fills | 45-50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,885 | +$85 +1.1% | 4 |
| 369d | RiskyWager | <45m | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,162 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 370d | wokerjoesleeper | <45m | SellYes>99¢ | $7,890 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 370d | wokerjoesleeper10 fills | >50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,660 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 370d | rated9 fills | >50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,444 | +$34 +0.3% | 4 |
| 370d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 45-50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,185 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 370d |  Oompa-Loompa | <45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 370d | rated3 fills | 45-50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,635 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 370d | cigarettes6 fills | >50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,902 | +$26 +0.2% | 4 |
| 370d |  aenews2 | >50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,547 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 370d | aenews2 | 45-50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,373 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 372d |  Big.Chungus | >50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$34 +0.9% | 4 |
| 372d |  enderone2 fills | <45m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,589 | +$94 +1.7% | 4 |
| 372d |  TheFantasticFour | <45m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$33 +2.5% | 4 |
| 372d | 0x955c…990f | 45-50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,213 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 372d | 0x955c…990f2 fills | >50m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,623 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 372d | lettuce | >50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,183 | +$19 +0.6% | 4 |
| 372d | lettuce | 45-50m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
| 374d |  Vespucci | <45m | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$105 +8.5% | 5 |
| 374d | 0x9199Ba070C49A78d7b1EB029B5c03 | <45m | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$216 +12% | 5 |
| 374d | aviato | >50m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,269 | +$85 +2.6% | 4 |
| 374d |  GUHHH | >50m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 4 |
BalickLivleyw6aH3 shares
ImmortalPlayerxF1 sharesThis market will resolve according to how much "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 10 - October 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <45m means the market gives it about 100%.