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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649d | Gamblrx32 fills | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $89,690 | +$90 +0.1% | 4 |
| 649d | VvVv2 fills | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 649d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,838 | +$39 +0.3% | 4 |
| 649d | SaylorMoon | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 649d |  Euan | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 649d | JSK030 | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 |
| 649d |  studmuffin6969 | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$25 −1.7% | — |
| 649d | Madsberg | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | −$99 −5.2% | — |
| 649d |  scottilicious2 fills | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,039 | +$485 +4.0% | 4 |
| 649d | WildRumpus2 | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | −$97 −4.2% | — |
| 649d |  Car2 fills | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,076 | +$1,107 +36% | 4 |
| 649d | keyu | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$134 −12% | — |
| 654d | WildRumpus2 | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$495 +26% | 4 |
| 666d | keyu2 fills | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,260 +42% | 4 |
| 666d | Madsberg | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$790 +53% | 4 |
| 666d | Car | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | −$1,081 −54% | — |
| 669d | mallieautl | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$456 +32% | 4 |
| 669d | TheBoyBilly... | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$369 +22% | 4 |
ContrivedSlanderOpposition16 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.