Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,583 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d |  VegemiteLover2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,934 | +$22 +0.4% | 4 |
| 311d |  spectral-mango-protocol | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$31 +2.9% | 4 |
| 350d |  AgricultureSecretary | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,176 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 352d | Old-Fashioned-Outset | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,483 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 364d |  ondra1232 fills | October 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,868 | +$632 +16% | 4 |
BFBB1,503 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.