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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77–80% | 100% | +4 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <65% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65–68% | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68–71% | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 71–74% | 0% | — | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74–77% | 0% | −1 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80%+ | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181d | d-flow | 74–77% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 181d | yougotme | 74–77% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,921 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 181d | yougotme | 77–80% | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,252 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 182d | matsster | 77–80% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$20 −1.7% | — |
| 183d |  mrworldwide | 77–80% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,787 | −$256 −4.4% | — |
| 184d | mrworldwide2 fills | 80%+ | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | −$170 −4.3% | — |
| 185d | Trim-Caution | 77–80% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$16 +1.3% | 10 |
| 185d | BrightStars | 71–74% | SellNo>99¢ | $7,413 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | BrightStars | 68–71% | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 186d |  Roro22 | 77–80% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$93 +5.8% | 10 |
| 186d | josibavaze | 77–80% | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | −$208 −8.4% | — |
| 186d | josibavaze | 77–80% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$80 +3.1% | 10 |
| 187d | mru33 | 80%+ | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,870 | −$1,870 −100% | 12 |
| 187d | zeddzorrander | 77–80% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 10 |
| 187d | SOMONBET | 77–80% | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$82 −5.1% | — |
| 187d |  hobo69 | 77–80% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$72 +3.7% | 10 |
| 187d | ZoomZoomr | 77–80% | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$305 −30% | — |
| 187d | medvesajt | 77–80% | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$92 −6.5% | — |
| 187d | moneyspeak | 77–80% | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$308 −26% | — |
| 187d | moneyspeak | 77–80% | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$331 +28% | 10 |
| 187d | pisikakawoodoobaba | 77–80% | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$747 +34% | 10 |
| 188d | Hijm777 | 77–80% | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$185 +18% | 10 |
| 188d | BrightStars | 68–71% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,924 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | BrightStars | 71–74% | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,604 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | BrightStars | 74–77% | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,759 | +$40 +0.2% | 10 |
| 188d |  S3LFMADE | 77–80% | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,471 | +$255 +7.3% | 10 |
| 188d |  LikelyToo | 80%+ | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$137 +13% | 10 |
| 188d | medvesajt | 77–80% | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$383 +19% | 10 |
| 188d | AZwater2 fills | 74–77% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,101 | +$12 +0.4% | 10 |
| 188d | Philippescu | 80%+ | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$453 +27% | 10 |
| 188d | influenz.eth3 fills | 74–77% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,203 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 188d | influenz.eth2 fills | 71–74% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,186 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | influenz.eth | <65% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | medvesajt | 80%+ | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
| 188d |  icanseeitall | 77–80% | SellYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | −$4,255 −300% | — |
| 188d | Droopy-Geometry-AlcoveNew account | 80%+ | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,211 | −$1,211 −100% | 18 |
| 188d | Olliii801 | 80%+ | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 10 |
| 188d | icanseeitall | 71–74% | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$637 +43% | 10 |
| 188d |  gopfan2 | 77–80% | SellNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | +$1,025 +100% | — |
| 189d | Novex | 80%+ | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$140 −12% | — |
| 189d | Novex | 80%+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$102 +8.8% | 11 |
| 193d | Akvyr | 71–74% | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$658 +44% | 12 |
| 202d | label240 | 68–71% | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$129 −11% | — |
| 202d | label240 | 68–71% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$129 +11% | 10 |
| 202d | rigid80 | 68–71% | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$106 −9.9% | — |
| 202d | address-tank-jungle | 68–71% | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$154 −9.9% | — |
| 202d | Mercy-Double | 68–71% | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | −$155 −11% | — |
| 202d | congressCritic | 68–71% | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | −$176 −11% | — |
| 202d | Mercy-Double | 68–71% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$124 +8.7% | 10 |
| 202d | congressCritic | 68–71% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$97 +8.7% | 10 |
| 202d | box9017 | 68–71% | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 202d | Tomorrowoy36 | 68–71% | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$87 −7.5% | — |
| 210d | KarenHawkins8687 | 68–71% | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$240 +19% | 10 |
gopfan2358 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 77–80% means the market gives it about 100%.