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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 56% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 54¢ · 59¢ (5¢) | — | in 183d |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 183d |
| Arsenal | 34% | −10 pts | −13 pts | 27¢ · 40¢ (13¢) | — | in 183d |
| Galatasaray | 2% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Feyenoord | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 183d |
| Real Madrid | 40% | — | −2 pts | 39¢ · 40¢ (1¢) | — | in 183d |
| Como | 10% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 17¢ (13¢) | — | in 183d |
| Bodø/Glimt | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 183d |
| Liverpool | 14% | +3 pts | −10 pts | 12¢ · 16¢ (4¢) | $586 | in 183d |
| LASK | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 183d |
| Fenerbahçe | 7% | −5 pts | — | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $354 | in 183d |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 53% | +2 pts | +14 pts | 52¢ · 53¢ (1¢) | — | in 183d |
| Sabah | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 183d |
| Viking | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 183d |
| Porto | 7% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Manchester City | 34% | +3 pts | +2 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 183d |
| AEK Athens | 3% | −2 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 183d |
| Roma | 8% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $159 | in 183d |
| Slavia Prague | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 8% | +4 pts | +3 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $102 | in 183d |
| Lille | 4% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Bayern Munich | 28% | −7 pts | −19 pts | 25¢ · 30¢ (5¢) | $64.4 | in 183d |
| Real Betis | 8% | +3 pts | +2 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | $60 | in 183d |
| Atlético Madrid | 19% | — | +9 pts | 11¢ · 27¢ (16¢) | — | in 183d |
| Napoli | 9% | — | +4 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Villarreal | 6% | −1 pts | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 183d |
| RB Leipzig | 10% | — | +2 pts | 8¢ · 11¢ (3¢) | — | in 183d |
| Lens | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 183d |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 183d |
| Club Brugge | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 183d |
| Manchester United | 14% | — | +4 pts | 3¢ · 24¢ (21¢) | $20 | in 183d |
| Inter Milan | 17% | −1 pts | −8 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 183d |
| Sporting CP | 15% | −1 pts | +7 pts | 7¢ · 23¢ (16¢) | $20 | in 183d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 14% | +2 pts | +6 pts | 5¢ · 24¢ (19¢) | — | in 183d |
| Aston Villa | 11% | −5 pts | — | 6¢ · 15¢ (9¢) | — | in 183d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Watery-Angstrom-Wiretap | Inter Milan | BuyYes25¢ → 17¢ | $1,000 | −$325 −33% | 24 |
| 36d | TypeShi | Roma | SellNo87¢ → 93¢ | $1,154 | −$75 −6.5% | — |
| 37d | TypeShi | Roma | BuyNo81¢ → 93¢ | $1,366 | +$186 +14% | 16 |
| 37d | chongchongpanda | Slovan Bratislava | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,241 | +$40 +3.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 56¢ for Barcelona means the market gives it about 56%.