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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | 0% | −52 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +32 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hernandez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Garcia to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −21 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +21 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d |  Ajwritescrypt0 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia>99¢ | $1,271 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | VPenguin6 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia>99¢ | $78,142 | −$78 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Shocked-Acetate | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 174d | VPenguin | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia>99¢ | $28,961 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 174d | Any-Victim | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia>99¢ | $2,381 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 174d | Cooperlovesfood | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia99¢ → 100¢ | $4,061 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 174d | abouttojump | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia99¢ → 100¢ | $9,894 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 174d |  ComingBack2 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia97¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$102 +3.1% | 5 |
| 174d | takeormake2 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia84¢ → 100¢ | $3,223 | +$607 +19% | 9 |
| 174d | 6yuyurrg | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia76¢ → 100¢ | $2,905 | +$917 +32% | 12 |
| 174d |  3648393489047 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia72¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | −$742 −39% | — |
| 174d | 3648393489047 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia49¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$1,280 +104% | 14 |
| 174d |  matanovik | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia47¢ → 100¢ | $4,596 | +$5,183 +113% | 14 |
| 174d | Tragic-CutoverNew account | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia47¢ → 100¢ | $14,797 | +$16,686 +113% | 23 |
| 174d | Sassy-Bucket17 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez53¢ → 0¢ | $337,386 | −$337K −100% | 14 |
| 174d | Cooperlovesfood | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia48¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$2,099 +108% | 14 |
| 174d | surfandturf | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia47¢ → 100¢ | $19,779 | +$22,304 +113% | 14 |
| 174d | erokha | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia48¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$1,083 −108% | — |
| 174d | ve36933 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez52¢ → 0¢ | $3,784 | −$3,784 −100% | 14 |
| 174d |  WallStreetGamer | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | SellRafa Garcia48¢ → 100¢ | $2,838 | −$3,072 −108% | — |
| 174d | WallStreetGamer | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia50¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$2,910 +100% | 14 |
| 174d | ChompChomp8882 fills | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia50¢ → 100¢ | $5,162 | +$5,229 +101% | 12 |
| 174d | Portly-Derivation | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia49¢ → 100¢ | $11,633 | +$12,108 +104% | 14 |
| 174d | Obilic | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez52¢ → 0¢ | $5,050 | −$5,050 −100% | 12 |
| 175d | timezonewarrior | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez52¢ → 0¢ | $5,863 | −$5,863 −100% | 12 |
| 175d |  lockrobster | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez50¢ → 0¢ | $2,462 | −$2,462 −100% | 12 |
| 175d | dfsgretfewqrfew | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez52¢ → 0¢ | $5,050 | −$5,050 −100% | 12 |
| 175d | Automatic-Estate | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez53¢ → 0¢ | $2,255 | −$2,255 −100% | 12 |
| 175d |  berboche | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez53¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | −$1,944 −100% | 12 |
| 175d | caillounoscopez2 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyAlexander Hernandez53¢ → 0¢ | $12,146 | −$12,146 −100% | 12 |
| 175d | Inborn-Remark | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia48¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$2,519 +108% | 12 |
| 176d | 05143 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia47¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$3,394 +113% | 9 |
| 177d | heisenb3rg96 | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia46¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$1,329 +117% | 9 |
| 179d |  beetlepimp | Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | BuyRafa Garcia45¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$1,595 +123% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia means the market gives it about 0%.