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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | 0% | −43 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pantoja to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +60 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +65 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Van to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −39 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pantoja in Round 3 | 0% | +5 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pantoja in Round 4 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pantoja in Round 5 | 0% | 0 pts | −45 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Van in Round 1 | 0% | +2 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Pantoja in Round 2 | 0% | −9 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Van in Round 3 | 0% | +4 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 5? | 0% | −57 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −37 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | 0 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +66 pts | +51 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Van in Round 4 | 0% | +3 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Van in Round 5 | 0% | −7 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Van in Round 2 | 0% | — | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Pantoja in Round 1 | 0% | −2 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 4? | 0% | −45 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d |  Kangta6365 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,427 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | suntori | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Elegant-Scarecrow | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,437 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | zzqq35 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Shotinho | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,680 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d |  hanbetscap | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $44,538 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | federick | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,583 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Exalted-Evocation | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $6,690 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | STC14 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Mild-Barn | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,431 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d |  penguinx | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,598 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 27d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van97¢ → 100¢ | $7,744 | +$256 +3.3% | 4 |
| 27d | beatyesterday2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van97¢ → 100¢ | $6,131 | +$208 +3.4% | 5 |
| 27d | sts22 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van98¢ → 100¢ | $5,145 | −$105 −2.0% | — |
| 27d | aviato2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 5 |
| 27d | 0x6db5…e2792 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van74¢ → 100¢ | $8,754 | +$3,046 +35% | 13 |
| 27d | gable | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van94¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$73 +6.0% | 6 |
| 27d | Substantial-Service3 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van67¢ → 100¢ | $9,318 | +$4,533 +49% | 14 |
| 27d |  arbarbbinks3 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van65¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,134 +53% | 14 |
| 27d | Substantial-Service4 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja40¢ → 0¢ | $36,390 | −$36,390 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  4751346 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$450 −43% | — |
| 27d | pereira12 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van70¢ → 100¢ | $3,109 | +$1,332 +43% | 14 |
| 27d | RaulRosasJr | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van70¢ → 100¢ | $4,336 | +$1,900 +44% | 14 |
| 27d | Zenhack | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van69¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$526 −45% | — |
| 27d | Mild-Barn | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$432 +43% | 14 |
| 27d | ferrariChampions2026 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van67¢ → 100¢ | $5,063 | +$2,494 +49% | 14 |
| 27d | mishipolis | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van68¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$480 −47% | — |
| 27d | insidiousidiot | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van80¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,244 +25% | 11 |
| 27d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van63¢ → 100¢ | $2,573 | +$1,518 +59% | 14 |
| 27d | SharkbetX-com | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja30¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van64¢ → 100¢ | $2,709 | +$1,496 +55% | 14 |
| 27d | 47513463 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van65¢ → 100¢ | $4,227 | +$2,273 +54% | 14 |
| 27d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja42¢ → 0¢ | $20,539 | −$20,539 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Mild-Barn | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellAlexandre Pantoja28¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | +$1,038 +100% | — |
| 27d | neutralwave23 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van69¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$513 −45% | — |
| 27d |  36483934890472 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja41¢ → 0¢ | $22,315 | −$22,315 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  E33xing2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van64¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | −$1,233 −57% | — |
| 27d | takeormake2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van79¢ → 100¢ | $8,304 | +$2,207 +27% | 11 |
| 27d | gaclfz3 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van75¢ → 100¢ | $4,914 | +$1,637 +33% | 12 |
| 27d | analdesutructor | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja25¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | NXYD | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van62¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$844 +61% | 14 |
| 27d | GEAEW2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van56¢ → 100¢ | $3,379 | +$2,647 +78% | 14 |
| 27d |  MathPsycho | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van61¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$1,624 +64% | 14 |
| 27d | Zenhack | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van60¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$938 +67% | 14 |
| 27d | takeormake2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja39¢ → 0¢ | $5,637 | −$5,637 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | ViperVenom | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | SellAlexandre Pantoja40¢ → 0¢ | $1,229 | +$1,229 +100% | — |
| 27d | E33xing | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$759 +76% | 14 |
| 27d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja62¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | SharkbetX-com2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van57¢ → 100¢ | $11,170 | +$8,484 +76% | 14 |
| 27d | 4751346 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja60¢ → 0¢ | $1,207 | −$1,207 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | 0x6db5…e279 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja42¢ → 0¢ | $9,999 | −$9,999 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | i.i.ilo | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja42¢ → 0¢ | $3,787 | −$3,787 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | surfandturf3 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van59¢ → 100¢ | $94,400 | +$65,600 +69% | 14 |
| 27d |  Hakei. | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van59¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$4,100 +69% | 14 |
| 27d | randypunt | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja42¢ → 0¢ | $2,940 | −$2,940 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Hakei. | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  0xwise2 fills | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyAlexandre Pantoja42¢ → 0¢ | $24,997 | −$24,997 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Homelandom | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver95¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$99 +5.3% | 6 |
| 27d |  Flipadelphia | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van59¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$2,050 +69% | 14 |
| 27d | Elegant-Scarecrow | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van59¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$1,000 +69% | 14 |
GeepaP9,558 shares
thelegend13x9 sharesThis market will resolve to "Alexandre Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Joshua Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van means the market gives it about 0%.