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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | 50% | −14 pts | −21 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | −4 pts | −10 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +4 pts | −22 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −4 pts | −21 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | −5 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Nascimento to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | +21 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Raposo to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | +5 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | +20 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento54¢ → 50¢ | $2,418 | −$195 −8.1% | 9 |
| 183d | SevenTons5 fills | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo49¢ → 50¢ | $9,339 | +$259 +2.8% | 9 |
| 183d | Uncommon-Attribute | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento52¢ → 50¢ | $1,263 | −$49 −3.8% | 9 |
| 183d | lpcapital12 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder43¢ → 50¢ | $5,868 | +$1,001 +17% | 9 |
| 183d |  lockrobster | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellAllan Nascimento51¢ → 50¢ | $2,483 | +$49 +2.0% | — |
| 183d | leegunner2 fills | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo40¢ → 50¢ | $2,888 | +$703 +24% | 9 |
| 183d | lockrobster | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento55¢ → 50¢ | $2,640 | −$240 −9.1% | 9 |
| 183d | Shocked-Prospect | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder43¢ → 50¢ | $1,245 | +$197 +16% | 9 |
| 183d | technician2 | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo38¢ → 50¢ | $1,248 | +$385 +31% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo means the market gives it about 50%.