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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | 0% | −60 pts | −65 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +37 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +44 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −35 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | +41 pts | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Raposo to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nascimento to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +14 pts | +40 pts | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | BountyHunterss | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $5,179 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Mccain | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  stillachance | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $9,850 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | bogemika | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  HeyItsOracle0 | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $14,775 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  B4jack | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $4,366 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | kutsumiakia | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $1,418 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Netrol | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $38,339 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  sleepy-panda | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo>99¢ | $69,618 | +$70 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d |  Xander-XX | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo>99¢ | $2,402 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d |  ScreamingEagle | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d | 0x1507…e175 | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 118d | 6yuyurrg | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo>99¢ | $2,179 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  Kh4mz4t | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 118d | Complicated-Chassis | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 118d | takeormake | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,752 | +$59 +2.1% | 5 |
| 118d | sts222 fills | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,386 | +$769 +9.2% | 7 |
| 118d |  0x1x13 | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | SellMitch Raposo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$111 −11% | — |
| 118d | 6yuyurrg | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,219 | +$630 +15% | 8 |
| 118d | Sassy-Bucket35 fills | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento60¢ → 0¢ | $430,692 | −$431K −100% | 12 |
| 118d |  LarryDaddy | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento60¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 14 |
| 118d | nononononoononono | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$523 +52% | 14 |
| 118d | Untried-Color | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo41¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | +$3,499 +144% | 14 |
| 118d | Gloobera | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyMitch Raposo40¢ → 100¢ | $4,470 | +$6,705 +150% | 14 |
| 118d | suntori | Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo | BuyAllan Nascimento61¢ → 0¢ | $2,928 | −$2,928 −100% | 14 |
| 118d | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver67¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$637 +49% | 12 |
47513461,195 sharesThis market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo means the market gives it about 0%.