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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | 100% | +26 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −37 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +76 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ruffy to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −19 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −22 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +56 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ruffy in Round 5 | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruffy in Round 1 | 0% | −6 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruffy in Round 2 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruffy in Round 3 | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan in Round 2 | 0% | −17 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −66 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruffy in Round 4 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan in Round 4 | 0% | −7 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan in Round 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan in Round 1 | 100% | +82 pts | +51 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +12 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +56 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +76 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −28 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan in Round 5 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 4? | 100% | +42 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −25 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 5? | 100% | +32 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | faraaao | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,334 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | kkookkoo | O/U 3.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $30,019 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Authentic-Insulation | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $6,450 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | i.i.ilo | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $4,780 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Leafy-Change | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,476 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | UFC33001 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $11,635 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | merkmerk12333331 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,347 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Homelandom | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,079 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d |  fearlessmma | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,061 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Exalted-Evocation | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $4,041 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | zzqq35 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $2,540 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | zzqq35 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,737 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | VanGen | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,744 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | farigraf | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Baron3 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,075 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Artimis | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,833 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Zenhack | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,564 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Mild-Barn | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | Shotinho | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $1,537 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | 0x6352…6726 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | schebon | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan98¢ → 100¢ | $9,312 | +$200 +2.1% | 5 |
| 27d | Substantial-Service | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan65¢ → 100¢ | $18,506 | +$9,883 +53% | 14 |
| 27d | takeormake | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$567 +38% | 13 |
| 27d | takeormake | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy34¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | fearlessmma | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan71¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$598 +41% | 14 |
| 27d | Liverpool1 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan71¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$523 +41% | 14 |
| 27d |  Flipadelphia | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan71¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$451 +41% | 14 |
| 27d | insomniacxbt | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy30¢ → 0¢ | $1,935 | −$1,935 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | 0x6352…6726 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$778 +39% | 13 |
| 27d |  0xwise3 fills | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy28¢ → 0¢ | $15,650 | −$15,650 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Sassy-Bucket | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan71¢ → 100¢ | $5,396 | +$2,204 +41% | 14 |
| 27d |  VeryLucky8884 fills | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | SellArman Tsarukyan70¢ → 100¢ | $5,600 | −$2,400 −43% | — |
| 27d | kaisersozee | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder60¢ → 100¢ | $4,818 | +$3,212 +67% | 14 |
| 27d | 0x50d5…1c11 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy29¢ → 0¢ | $9,637 | −$9,637 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | rabbitfoot1 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder60¢ → 100¢ | $6,496 | +$4,331 +67% | 14 |
| 27d | i.i.ilo | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $3,445 | +$1,340 +39% | 13 |
| 27d | kkookkoo | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder60¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$12,049 +67% | 14 |
| 27d | MahammadBruceLee | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$840 +39% | 13 |
| 27d | Exalted-Evocation | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $2,913 | +$1,133 +39% | 13 |
| 27d | SigorJabson | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan72¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | +$1,157 +39% | 13 |
| 27d | Substantial-Service | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy28¢ → 0¢ | $21,260 | −$21,260 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  nigiri993 fills | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy28¢ → 0¢ | $10,793 | −$10,793 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | VanGen | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$471 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | king31 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $5,037 | +$1,863 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | JoeytheReal | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,219 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | Lazlo1 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$407 +37% | 13 |
| 27d |  Judas-Priest | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$836 +28% | 11 |
| 27d | Juan12345678 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $7,299 | +$2,700 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | Hidden-Dot | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder59¢ → 100¢ | $8,032 | +$5,582 +69% | 14 |
| 27d | beechained2 fills | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy28¢ → 0¢ | $4,137 | −$4,137 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  more | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyMauricio Ruffy28¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | zzqq35 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$740 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | sophik2026 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder59¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,085 +69% | 14 |
| 27d | jaytee158 | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $9,865 | +$3,649 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | luckybanks | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$401 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | Weary-Wagon | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $4,695 | +$1,737 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | Wordy-Littleneck | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyOver41¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | Mild-Barn | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$540 +37% | 13 |
| 27d | Artimis | Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy | BuyArman Tsarukyan73¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$766 +37% | 13 |
This market will resolve to "Arman Tsarukyan" if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Mauricio Ruffy" if Mauricio Ruffy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy means the market gives it about 100%.