Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | 100% | +46 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +46 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Costa to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +42 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Allen to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −48 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −32 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +43 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +8 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +22 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | Buoyant-Halfbrother | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $2,196 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | mishipolis | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $3,156 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | irio | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $2,244 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Equal-Sisterinlaw | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $3,700 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 153d | rndmb3 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $1,938 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $8,254 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 153d | Everlasting-ExcursionNew account | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $6,261 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Idontwantausername | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $2,927 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | TB14 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $5,620 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | insomniacxbt | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $9,100 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 153d | ccable | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $4,250 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 153d | laoli668 | Costa to win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 153d | PCH99 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $6,061 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | shenzy | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen>99¢ | $2,245 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Molygem2.0 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 153d | UnRektCapital4 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen73¢ → 100¢ | $69,636 | +$25,672 +37% | 13 |
| 153d | amnesia12 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen97¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$56 −3.4% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen95¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$86 +5.3% | 6 | |
| 153d | sts22 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen93¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$224 +7.5% | 6 |
| 153d | 0x5375…aeea2 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen92¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | −$251 −8.5% | — |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen94¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$103 −6.4% | — | |
| 153d | montechristo777 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen91¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$491 +10% | 7 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen89¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | −$304 −12% | — | |
| 153d | Multicolored-Aircraft | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | SellArnold Allen90¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$116 −11% | — |
| 153d | Buoyant-Halfbrother | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 7 |
| 153d | aviato | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen90¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$138 +11% | 7 |
| 153d | shenzy | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$247 +12% | 8 |
| 153d | gaclfz2 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen66¢ → 100¢ | $9,430 | +$4,780 +51% | 14 |
| 153d | abouttojump2 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen73¢ → 100¢ | $2,920 | +$1,080 +37% | 13 |
| 153d | takeormake5 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen58¢ → 100¢ | $7,092 | +$5,230 +74% | 14 |
| 153d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa50¢ → 0¢ | $5,148 | −$5,148 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa50¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | −$1,283 −100% | 14 | |
| 153d | abhiapple | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen66¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$1,185 +52% | 14 |
| 153d | amnesia12 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen70¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$546 +43% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $15,530 | +$13,229 +85% | 14 | |
| 153d | bondfolio | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $6,480 | +$5,520 +85% | 14 |
| 153d | shenzy | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | arlanta4 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen53¢ → 100¢ | $49,290 | +$43,710 +89% | 14 |
| 153d | 0x5375…aeea3 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen53¢ → 100¢ | $7,557 | +$6,663 +88% | 14 |
| 153d | BaccaratRoulette | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen53¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,434 +89% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 | |
| 153d | WYNNERBACC | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $9,600 | −$9,600 −100% | 14 | |
| 153d | ic4cream | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $4,809 | −$4,809 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | LudoPriclychenie | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen53¢ → 100¢ | $34,450 | +$30,550 +89% | 14 |
| 153d | Exterminatormoney | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa48¢ → 0¢ | $1,289 | −$1,289 −100% | 14 | |
| 153d | olegio | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa47¢ → 0¢ | $3,059 | −$3,059 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $4,462 | +$3,801 +85% | 14 | |
| 153d | lluucckkyy | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen53¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$1,391 +89% | 14 |
| 153d | Sassy-Bucket6 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $336,772 | +$290K +86% | 14 |
| 153d | benwyatt2 fills | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa47¢ → 0¢ | $3,922 | −$3,922 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | Tomer12 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa47¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | 0xc33a…3da3 | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$1,687 +85% | 14 |
| 153d | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa47¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 14 | |
| 153d | Everlasting-ExcursionNew account | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyArnold Allen54¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$2,883 +85% | 29 |
| 153d | bzzz | Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa | BuyMelquizael Costa47¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa means the market gives it about 100%.