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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Machado Garry win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +2 pts | — | 59¢ · 100¢ (41¢) | — | ended |
| Muhammad win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | h.roark | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry>99¢ | $2,053 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 328d |  middleoftheocean | Muhammad win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d | middleoftheocean | Machado Garry win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d | SuperbowlorBust | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,579 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d | SuperbowlorBust | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,062 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d |  zb83 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry>99¢ | $12,372 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 328d |  bamesjond | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry>99¢ | $5,198 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d |  Allinnothing2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry>99¢ | $47,572 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 328d | Minor-Armour | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $29,560 | −$279 −0.9% | — |
| 328d | trya | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry>99¢ | $1,244 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 328d | dummyguesser | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $7,758 | −$78 −1.0% | — |
| 328d | Lne89 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 328d | jesuschristcoded | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $3,691 | −$37 −1.0% | — |
| 328d | Flashy-Building | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $31,489 | −$318 −1.0% | — |
| 328d | 6kkandrew1 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $5,497 | −$56 −1.0% | — |
| 328d |  jimmyhopkins | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry99¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 328d | DrPufferfish | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry78¢ → 100¢ | $2,616 | +$738 +28% | 10 |
| 328d | thepunterwhopunts2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad24¢ → 0¢ | $4,576 | −$4,576 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry79¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | −$522 −27% | — |
| 328d |  SemyonMarmeladov2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad22¢ → 0¢ | $4,324 | −$4,324 −100% | 12 |
| 328d |  Cracotte | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | SellMachado Garry71¢ → 100¢ | $1,921 | −$783 −41% | — |
| 328d | saithama2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$1,417 +36% | 11 |
| 328d | noloanplz | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad28¢ → 0¢ | $1,783 | −$1,783 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | lessmoneynoproblems | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$703 +35% | 11 |
| 328d |  UnfortunateSon | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | operationcastle | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | EVplusrebate | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | SemyonMarmeladov | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $18,764 | +$6,940 +37% | 11 |
| 328d | jumboNuts | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,110 +37% | 11 |
| 328d | meill | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad27¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | Minor-Armour2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry72¢ → 100¢ | $12,353 | +$4,840 +39% | 9 |
| 328d | middleoftheocean | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $52,540 | +$18,460 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | YontyBull | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,405 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | dummyguesser | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $5,799 | +$2,037 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,108 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | lololbro38 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad28¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | −$1,462 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | jesuschristcoded | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $2,743 | +$985 +36% | 11 |
| 328d | Flashy-Building | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $23,530 | +$8,277 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | Sharpyyy7 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $85,933 | +$31,626 +37% | 11 |
| 328d | Cracotte | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$704 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | almet | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry74¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | +$623 +35% | 11 |
| 328d | knoxgold | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $5,592 | +$2,068 +37% | 11 |
| 328d | Rust-449 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$389 +39% | 11 |
| 328d | WYNNERBACC | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry72¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$1,260 +39% | 11 |
| 328d |  kto2x | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad29¢ → 0¢ | $2,510 | −$2,510 −100% | 12 |
| 328d | Thirstywhalee | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry72¢ → 100¢ | $2,365 | +$920 +39% | 11 |
| 329d | 6kkandrew1 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry72¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | +$1,555 +39% | 11 |
| 329d | dingdongboom | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad29¢ → 0¢ | $1,493 | −$1,493 −100% | 12 |
| 329d | h.roark | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry73¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$555 +37% | 9 |
| 329d | Anointed-Connect2 fills | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad29¢ → 0¢ | $15,991 | −$15,991 −100% | 9 |
| 329d | 4-seas | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad28¢ → 0¢ | $2,489 | −$2,489 −100% | 9 |
| 330d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMuhammad29¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | −$1,355 −100% | 9 |
| 330d | tea3qu | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry70¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$510 +43% | 9 |
| 331d |  jtradegbr | Muhammad vs. Machado Garry | BuyMachado Garry69¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$453 +45% | 6 |
| 332d | JigglyPuff | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$508 +33% | 6 |
gopfan227,000 shares
one8tyfive9,268 shareskto2x8,655 sharesThis market will resolve to "Muhammad" if Belal Muhammad is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Muhammad vs. Machado Garry means the market gives it about 0%.