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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | 100% | +14 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −33 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −10 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −62 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hasan to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +43 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +41 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rojas to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −43 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | hanlun | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | SellBilal Hasan>99¢ | $16,478 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | kutsumiakia | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | SellBilal Hasan>99¢ | $2,766 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | aviato | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,471 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 49d | Trollollollollol | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | SellBilal Hasan>99¢ | $4,309 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | aviato | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 49d | ferrariChampions2026 | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyNilson Rojas16¢ → 0¢ | $2,566 | −$2,566 −100% | 12 |
| 49d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan86¢ → 100¢ | $22,169 | +$3,630 +16% | 8 |
| 49d | shoemanhere | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan79¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | +$514 +27% | 10 |
| 49d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan97¢ → 100¢ | $4,643 | +$144 +3.1% | 5 |
| 49d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | +$563 +36% | 11 |
| 49d | hanlun | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan87¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,494 +15% | 7 |
| 49d | kutsumiakia | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan87¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$215 +15% | 7 |
| 49d | CanadianGoose | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan86¢ → 100¢ | $3,722 | +$606 +16% | 8 |
| 49d | slimjoe | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan86¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$203 +16% | 6 |
| 49d | Exciting-Fir | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan86¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$272 +16% | 6 |
| 50d | christianox | Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas | BuyBilal Hasan87¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$650 +15% | 6 |
tizzles4,280 sharesThis market will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nilson Rojas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Nilson Rojas" if Nilson Rojas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas means the market gives it about 100%.