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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elekana vs. Tafa | 100% | +30 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +76 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elekana win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tafa win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +18 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −37 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | WYNNERBACC | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  E33xing | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $1,162 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Spanish-Dragonfruit | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $9,648 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  Judas-Priest | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $2,082 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | WuTangClan | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | acorp | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $1,899 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | joosangyoo | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $37,674 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | WuTangClan2 fills | Elekana win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,794 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | WuTangClan | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,386 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | WuTangClan | Tafa win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,788 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | WuTangClan | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | WuTangClan | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | WuTangClan | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,403 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d |  nkys | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | 6yuyurrg | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana>99¢ | $5,477 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | -JB- | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,625 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 258d | juuuvl9 | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 258d |  shinigami-eyes | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $2,999 | −$2,999 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | lablet | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa57¢ → 0¢ | $4,218 | −$4,218 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | lablet | Elekana vs. Tafa | SellElekana43¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | −$2,052 −133% | — |
| 258d | borntoolate.eth2 fills | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana50¢ → 100¢ | $10,367 | +$10,391 +100% | 14 |
| 258d | thepunterwhopunts | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa45¢ → 0¢ | $2,674 | −$2,674 −100% | 14 |
| 258d |  GeepaP2 fills | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa39¢ → 0¢ | $6,471 | −$6,471 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | borntoolate.eth2 fills | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa39¢ → 0¢ | $11,526 | −$11,526 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | Stormy-Sherbet | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa40¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | fishyfishyfishy | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa40¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | gmanas | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $24,177 | +$9,875 +41% | 14 |
| 258d |  SwissMiss | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $52,042 | −$52,042 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | benwyatt | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $52,814 | −$52,814 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089154 fills | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $5,367 | +$2,192 +41% | 12 |
| 258d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$870 +41% | 14 |
| 258d | acorp | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$490 +41% | 14 |
| 258d | sportmaster2e | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $19,581 | −$19,581 −100% | 14 |
| 258d |  sunflowaa | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | Donghui | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $30,000 | −$30,000 −100% | 14 |
| 258d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | Spanish-Dragonfruit3 fills | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $5,857 | +$2,392 +41% | 14 |
| 258d | MrSparklySimpsons | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $25,642 | +$10,989 +43% | 14 |
| 258d |  myjob | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$817 +41% | 14 |
| 258d | om777 | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 14 |
| 258d | joosangyoo | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $15,169 | +$6,501 +43% | 14 |
| 258d | Dingwin | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$1,350 +43% | 14 |
| 258d | peter010717 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver59¢ → 100¢ | $2,818 | +$1,959 +69% | 14 |
| 258d | SammySledge | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa30¢ → 0¢ | $12,180 | −$12,180 −100% | 12 |
| 258d | IAmHomelessNow | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | +$1,247 +41% | 12 |
| 258d | Tbonepro | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana71¢ → 100¢ | $2,840 | +$1,160 +41% | 12 |
| 258d | WYNNERBACC | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $4,640 | +$1,989 +43% | 12 |
| 258d | NezaVidmar | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$774 +43% | 12 |
| 259d | CharityStripe | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyTafa31¢ → 0¢ | $1,550 | −$1,550 −100% | 12 |
| 259d | BoggsFromShawshank | Elekana vs. Tafa | BuyElekana70¢ → 100¢ | $14,112 | +$6,048 +43% | 12 |
shinigami-eyes27,629 sharessunflowaa10,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junior Tafa at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elekana vs. Tafa means the market gives it about 100%.