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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | 100% | +47 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +65 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −32 pts | −41 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −27 pts | −47 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −28 pts | −41 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −9 pts | −44 pts | — · 13¢ | — | ended |
| Allen to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | −41 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan in Round 1 | 0% | +17 pts | −7 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Allen in Round 3 | 0% | +17 pts | −6 pts | — · 88¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Duncan in Round 2 | 0% | +16 pts | −7 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +56 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Allen in Round 5 | 100% | +75 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +33 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Allen in Round 2 | 0% | +19 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Allen in Round 4 | 0% | +21 pts | −4 pts | — · 92¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −9 pts | −17 pts | — · 67¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | +6 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 4? | 0% | +5 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 5? | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Allen in Round 1 | 0% | +21 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan in Round 3 | 0% | +21 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan in Round 4 | 0% | +22 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan in Round 5 | 0% | +22 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Colorless-Spotlight | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | SellBrendan Allen>99¢ | $4,701 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 6d |  BallackTips | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | SellBrendan Allen>99¢ | $2,239 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | 0xNuttawut | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | SellBrendan Allen>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | curie2 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen60¢ → 100¢ | $2,265 | +$1,509 +67% | 14 |
| 6d | SHAFKAT | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen80¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$325 +25% | 11 |
| 6d | GEAEW2 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen57¢ → 100¢ | $3,888 | +$2,961 +76% | 14 |
| 6d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan37¢ → 0¢ | $13,223 | −$13,223 −100% | 14 |
| 6d |  elmcap2 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen89¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | +$351 +12% | 8 |
| 6d | Substantial-Service | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen88¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$395 +14% | 8 |
| 6d | ferrariChampions2026 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen86¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$321 +16% | 9 |
| 6d | Nemoto | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen79¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$422 +27% | 11 |
| 6d | elmcap2 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | SellChristian Leroy Duncan27¢ → 0¢ | $1,485 | +$1,485 +100% | — |
| 6d | Yawning-Chicken | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan28¢ → 0¢ | $1,082 | −$1,082 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | gaclfz | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen56¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$980 +79% | 14 |
| 6d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan41¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | −$1,299 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | FKMY | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$1,633 +96% | 14 |
| 6d | takeormake2 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan52¢ → 0¢ | $3,013 | −$3,013 −100% | 14 |
| 6d |  3648393489047 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen52¢ → 100¢ | $15,391 | +$14,207 +92% | 14 |
| 6d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | +$3,225 +96% | 14 |
| 6d | 0xNuttawut | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$2,450 +96% | 14 |
| 6d | Zenhack | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $4,033 | −$4,033 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | gangmusic | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $45,695 | +$43,903 +96% | 14 |
| 6d | BallackTips | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$1,098 +96% | 14 |
| 6d |  Kosherlocks2 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen52¢ → 100¢ | $7,445 | +$6,927 +93% | 12 |
| 6d | WYNNERBACC | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | Madeira99 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan50¢ → 0¢ | $2,079 | −$2,079 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | BanfieldChris | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan50¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | suntori | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$1,373 +96% | 14 |
| 6d |  siick | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen51¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$980 +96% | 14 |
| 6d |  nigiri992 fills | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $7,783 | −$7,783 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | ROI-Human | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | elmcap2 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $3,030 | −$3,030 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | Colorless-Spotlight | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen52¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$1,055 +92% | 14 |
| 6d |  hanbetscap | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $2,271 | −$2,271 −100% | 14 |
| 6d | madkkee | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyBrendan Allen52¢ → 100¢ | $6,555 | +$6,051 +92% | 14 |
| 7d |  digitalnomad85 | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan49¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 8d | RobPuma | Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan | BuyChristian Leroy Duncan48¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan means the market gives it about 100%.